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- Forex Trading: EUR/USD Moves Above Resistance
Despite the weak housing data, the EUR/USD has squeezed higher above resistance at 1.2813-25. USD/CHF moves below 200 hour moving average at the 1.2029 as … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - No Spin - Oct US Existing Home Sales Report
I heard this morning from several popular media sources that that prices falling, month’s supply coming down and foreclosures as a percentage of total sales rising is a 'great thing’ for housing. DON’T BELIEVE IT! These are the same forces as we have seen for the past year and the housing market is worse off today than ever.
Show me a month where a) organic sales rise b) values stay flat or rise and c) new loan defaults and foreclosures stay flat or drop - that would be a … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Seven Notable Dividend Increases
Last week the markets broke through yet another set of support levels to the lowest point in 11 years. Pundits, technical analysts and others kept getting more bearish on the markets and the economy. There were however several stocks which showed enough confidence in their financial situation that they decided to stick with their dividend payment plans. I view stocks that increase their dividends in this tough environment as defensive, recession proof corporations, who have survived many … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Time To Be Long China?
Back on October 10, 2007, in a post with the title When to Short China? I predicted:
Eventually, there will come a time when you will look back and say to yourself, “Why wasn’t I short China? It was such a no-brainer…”
In the 13 ½ months since that post, the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (FXI) has fallen from a split-adjusted 63 to 24 and change, a loss of about 62%.Now predicting tops and bottoms is always a dangerous parlor game, but investors should always be wary of … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Which Is The Better Stock: Coke Or Pepsi?
One of the bigger debates that rages on within the Consumer Staples sector is whether Coca-Cola (KO) or PepsiCo (PEP) is a better investment. The two carbonated and non-carbonated soft drink manufacturing behemoths take up over 70% of the world wide beverage sales and have been solid equity holdings since well before I was born. Raising dividends and consistent earnings might as well be each company’s middle name, but the debate of which one is better still rages on. While both are … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Citigroup Shares Rise On Government Rescue Plan
Banking giant Citigroup Inc. Citigroup Inc. (C) received $306 billion of U.S. government guarantees for troubled mortgages and toxic assets, in a rescue package that will save the embattled bank from a possible breakup or sale after its stock plunged 60% last week.
Citigroup will also receive a $20 billion cash infusion from the U.S. Treasury Department, which is in addition to the $25 billion the company received last month under the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Forex Trading: EUR/USD Tests The Resistance At The 1.2813 Level
The EUR/USD tested the key level at the 1.2813 level reaching a high of 1.2825 on stop buying but reversing quickly. In the recent past, quick rejections of key levels has led to lower levels. The market should find sellers against this resistance level and will put the burden on the EUR/USD bulls. KEY Resistance Level: 1.2813 to … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Forex Trading: USD/CHF Moves Below The 100 Hour Moving Average
The USDCHF moved below the 100 hour moving average this morning. The 100 hour moving average has been acting as support for the USDCHF since early November. The pair had two moves along the way that dipped below the level, but on each occassion, the pair bounced higher within the same hour. This negated the stops and propelling the pair higher as shorts scrambled to cover their positions.
The pair fell below the line at the 1.2137 level today and has moved to a low of … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Should You Trade More Than One Currency Pair At A Time?
If someone should concentrate on one currency pair in their forex trading is a fundamental question that needs to be addressed and matched to your trading style before you are going to be successful. My gut feeling is that the shorter the timeframe you use on your charts to make trade decisions, the lower the number of pairs you should trade. Let’s get into the details:
You can be successful trading one pair
Many Traders are successful trading just one pair. The advantages of trading … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - US Dollar Under Pressure In Early Trading
Overnight Asia/Europe
USD opens flat to slightly better, reverses as equities rise
US Data due today likely to be USD unfriendly
Tokyo closed for holidayToday’s Economic Reports
All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)10:00am USD Existing Home Sales
Very light day for everyone on MondayLooking Ahead to Tuesday
All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)8:30am USD Prelim GDP q/q
8:30am USD Prelim GDP Price Index q/q
9:00am USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
10:00am USD CB Consumer … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - More On Total Hourly Labor Costs: GM Vs. Toyota
ASSOCIATED PRESS — The leaders of GM (GM) and the UAW told Congress last week that a new union contract will virtually erase the labor cost gap between GM and foreign competitors with U.S. factories. That’s not quite true, according to GM’s own figures.
GM says its total hourly labor costs dropped 6% this year from $73.26 in 2006 to around $69 per hour. The new cost includes wages of $29.78 per hour, plus benefits, pensions and the cost of providing health care to more than … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Gold Gains 6% In One Week
In a remarkable week for the yellow metal, strong resistance at $770 last Monday may now be the level of support as Gold (GLD) rallied on Friday, finishing up $50 on the day, 6% on the week. It is currently trading at $822 (1230 GMT) and a sustained move above $800 could signal an upswing towards the $850 level, again confirming Gold’s safe haven demand as stock markets continued to fall sharply amid continuing woes in the US financial sector (as graphically illustrated by Citigroup). … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Citigroup Bailout - Government To Use Tax Payer Money To Backstop $306 Billion Of Crap
The United States Government has now added Citigroup (C) to the rapidly growing list of companies that are to receive financial aid from the tax payers.
Press ReleaseJoint Statement by Treasury, Federal Reserve and the FDIC on CitigroupWashington, DC- The U.S. government is committed to supporting financial market stability, which is a prerequisite to restoring vigorous economic growth. In support of this commitment, the U.S. government on Sunday entered into an agreement with … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Oh What A Tangled Web
“Oh what a tangled web we weave,
When first we practice to deceive”
- Sir Walter Scott“But when we’ve practiced for a while,
How vastly we improve our style!”
- J.R. Pope
This morning’s press headlines provide plenty of reason for faith in humanity and the general goodness of people in the financial industry.Consider the following web of stories:
Citigroup (C) gets a bailout package from the Federales….
…despite the fact that one of their primary “assets” … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - How The Markets Have Moved Over The Past Year
Yesterday, I received a letter that read, “I love your article….that is until your started tooting your own horn. Say the facts and let the people decide.” The fact is I am not a reporter, I am a journalist. I don’t write articles, I blog information and opinion to a community of over 100,000 people who find it helpful in discussing markets.
The “people” have already decided, but if you want facts, I’ll give you facts.
On Friday morning I wrote,
Yesterday, (C) shares plunged … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - Video: Iceland's Plan To Recover
Iceland has been one of the heardest hit countries by the global financial meltdown but the IMF has announced plans to get the country back on its feet. … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Citigroup: Massive Rescue Plan Announced
The U.S. federal government agreed on Sunday night on a massive rescue plan for banking giant Citigroup (C). The plan consists of two key features: the Treasury and the FDIC will backstop some losses against more than $300 billion in troubled assets. The Treasury will make a fresh $20 billion investment in the bank.
From the Fed: Joint Statement by Treasury, Federal Reserve and the FDIC on Citigroup.
The U.S. government is committed to supporting financial market stability, which is … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - Is Google Oversold?
Google (GOOG) has come down quite a bit. It’s down from 700 in the last 12 months. It’s definitely one of the oversold candidates. MACD is still pointing down. RSI is close to oversold. It could be forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern and due for a bounce that could take it up to the 400 level or so. I’ve always liked Google and their ability to innovate. They’ve destroyed the newspaper business and they are a true cash cow. I guess one of the main questions is: … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Forex Trading: Yen Being Defended Against The Euro By Moving Averages
Looking at the EUR/JPY pair from August on a 4-hour chart, we notice that since 4-100hour moving average and 4-200hour moving average converged early in August, they have protected the Yen against the Euro for over four months. We will watch these moving averages closely in the event that equity markets rally and hurt the strong performance of the Yen and prop up the Euro that has been devastated in recent … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Forex Trading: EUR/USD Supported By 200HR Moving Average
In what is shaping up to be a very quiet Asian session on a Japanese Holiday, we see the EUR/USD pair trading in a tight range supported by the 200hr moving average. With equity futures receiving a bid on the open the EUR/USD pair traded north and then lower as the futures gave back the early gains. We will watch for 200hr mavg to provide some short-term support and the trendline depicted below to provide some … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - ETF: Sector Overview
Looking at an overview of sector charts, the overall market orientation is quite bearish. After Friday’s countertrend rally, many charts are providing advantageous entries on the short side. While the bearish case appears compelling, the current and future administrations are both working to provide economic solutions. Therefore, before we get too aggressive shorting stocks, it is worth reflecting on potential game-changers.
Friday’s rally was apparently triggered by the announcement … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Forex Markets: A Look Into The US Dollar, Part II
Welcome to part two of a four part series covering the current conditions of the foreign exchange market. This series of articles is focused on the dollar’s moves in relation to other currencies. The first part of this series is focused on the relationships between the Dollar and the Euro, commodities, and inflation and their role in the forex market. This part of the series will explain some of the reasons regarding why the Dollar has rallied recently in light of the financial crisis.
The … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - You Are Concerned With Your Financial Future, But Most Of You Will Do Nothing About It
I hate to bring bad news around the holidays, but your retirement is just wasting away in front of your eyes. This should not come as a shock to you because you’ve been watching this happen for months now. And maybe you’ve spent a little bit of extra time in the morning watching CNBC or Bloomberg during this global recession, or feeling knowledgeable because you can tell colleagues that OPEC is going to take measure to increase the price of a barrel of oil. Maybe you’ve even checked to … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - US Stock Market: Constructive Long-Term Sentiment Readings
Last week the market broke down decisively below its October lows. In the ensuing panic, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) melted down (ho hum, what again?) to levels below its 2002 lows.
Amidst the carnage, the market is extremely oversold and long-term sentiment measures are at bear market extremes. With the caveat that long-term sentiment indicators can’t pinpoint the exact low on this bear, this is an indication that downside may be limited for this bear market.
Death of … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Forex Trading: GBP/USD In Consolidation On The Daily Chart
After a break of 1.5230 and a move lower to 1.4559 GBP/USD has been trading between these two figures over the past week. A break above immediate resistance at 1.5230 (r1 could yield resistance at 1.6700 (r2) 1.7355/60 (r3) and onto 1.6020 (r4) which are Fibonacci retracement levels from the pairs move 07/15 at 2.0156 to the recent low. A break below support at 1.4559 could give way to new lows not seen over the last few years (most likely 1.4000/4100 … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Water ETFs Could Clean Up Act With Obama
A nationwide push for President-Elect Barack Obama to address drinking water issues may affect related exchange traded funds (ETFs) in a healthy manner if he agrees.
The water industry is calling for safer drinking water standards, source water protection and infrastructure investment, reports Water Tech online. Organization such as American Water Works Association, Association of Metropolitan Water Agencies, National Association of Water Companies, and National Rural Water Association … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Big Three Automakers: Cash On Hand Vs. Burn Rate
Here is a graphic from the WSJ that depicts the Q3 burn rate for each US Big Three automaker vs. their current amount of cash on hand:
Graphic courtesy of the WSJ
Something that worries me (between the graphic and some of the stuff I’ve read on the issue), is that Detroit seems to be operating under the premise that they can survive if they can drum up cash to get by until demand returns. Now this would make sense if their woes were as simple as not having enough demand and/or … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Forex Trading: USD/CAD Gained More Than 900 Pips Over Last Two Weeks
Last week was an extremely busy work week for me at my real job, and an extremely slow week in the forex department because the market settled down a bit. I need more volatility for my trading, and I think this week will provide that.
Let’s take a look at what the majors did last week:
Majors
EUR/USD | +7 pips
USD/JPY | -144 pips
GBP/USD | +175 pips
USD/CHF | +250 pips
AUD/USD | -151 pips
USD/CAD | +331 pipsThere has been more than a 900 pip gain for the USD/CAD over the … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - The Weekend Commodities Review
Energies
Oil below $50 on a single down leg from $147 seemed impossible to even the most extreme bears, but here we are. The dollar turn this week to bearish should push oil prices higher as distillate supplies go into a period of draw. Expect a boost in natural gas as we get a cold few weeks in the U.S., but the surprise supply increase last week cannot be entirely ignored.
Financials
The big news came late Friday with the announcement of Tim Geithner as the new treasury … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - US Stock Market: Earnings Preview For Nov 24 - 28
The U.S. financial markets will be closed on Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving. On Friday, Nov 28, stock exchanges will close at 1 p.m. ET.
As would be expected for a holiday-shortened week, the financial calendar is pretty light.
Only 62 companies have been confirmed to report. Joining Dow component Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) will be fellow S&P 500 members Analog Devices (ADI), Campbell Soup (CPB), Deere & Co. (DE), D.R. Horton (DHI) and Tiffany & Co. (TIF).
Much of … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - Money Tricks Rich Guys Know
I recently picked up a copy of the magazine Men’s Health as part of my ongoing effort to lose 50 pounds (240 - 190lbs). I’m 80% of the way to my goal which I started in May, 2008. I haven’t looked at a Men’s Health in years. Apparently they now run a regular section called ‘Men’s Wealth’ where they deal with all things financial. When I first glanced at the article in this section titled ‘7 Money Tricks Rich Guys Know’, I wasn’t expecting much, as I find typically when media resources … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - A Look At The Devastation In US Steel (X)
The commodity collapse or demand destruction in prices has hurt commodities across the board, including companies that rely on them. I wanted to take a special look at former high-flyer US Steel (X) to show the boom and bust and underscore the volatility in commodity-based stocks.
US Steel (X) Monthly:
I added an Elliott Wave count to show the completed five-wave large-scale impulse which terminated just shy of $200.00 per share in mid-2008. The initial impulse began in early … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - The Politics Of Wealth And Economic Boom
“When you’re young it’s fantastically important what sort of car you’re seen to be driving..
“Take your BMW, Alex.. it isn’t simply a means of transport, it’s a symbol of your position in society, your manhood..
“But when you get to my age and position, things like that appear silly and trifling; a car really ceases to have value as a status symbol..
“That’s why I got the helicopter.”
- Rupert to Alex, in 'Alex’, by Charles Peattie and Russell Taylor.
Trust … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - Hewlett Packard And Dell: A Tale Of Two PC Makers
PC makers, Hewlett Packard (HPQ) and Dell (DELL) posted earnings earlier this week partially eroding concerns that PC manufacturers will follow suit with their other IT counterparts in the spending downturn. Intel’s remarks last week did not bode well as they tapered down revenues by over $1 billion due to softening demand. It is surprising to see the PC makers coping well in a time where electronic spending is poised to decline as the jobless rate continues to increase leaving people … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Nucor A Scrappy Performer
Nucor Corporation (NUE) is the nation’s largest recycler of steel scrap. Long-term contracts, constant cost reduction efforts, higher steel prices, lower interest rates, strong cash flow position and a dominant acquisition strategy inspire our optimism with respect to the stock’s performance in the coming quarters.
The company’s third-quarter 2008 profit nearly doubled mainly because of robust sales from recently acquired steel and scrap-metal companies. However, a slowdown in steel … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Are Pharmaceuticals A Good Place To Hide Out In A Down Market?
Names that were previously viewed as safe and stable investments, large-cap pharmaceuticals, are now trading at levels not seen since 2002. And, for some such as Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) and Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY), these are prices not seen since the past decade.
This is clearly a sell-first, ask questions later market. After all, believing that patients are going to stop taking Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (BMY) blood-thinner Plavix or Pfizer’s anti-cholesterol agent Lipitor because … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - The Jobs Bank = $500 Million Annual Cost To Big 3 Automakers
From today’s Detroit News:
“Currently, Chrysler has 711 workers in the jobs bank, GM has 1,404 and Ford has 1,476.”
Let’s do the math:Ford (F): 1,476 workers x [$70 per hour base pay plus cost-of-living adjustments, holiday and vacation pay, health-care, pension and other benefits ) x 95% pay while on layoff] x 40 hours per week x 50 weeks per year = $196M per year.
GM (GM): 1,404 workers x [$70 per hour (salary and benefits) x 95%] x 40 hours per week x 50 weeks per year = … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Two Hurting Auto Industries And ETFs, Two Approaches
The Big Three in the United States aren’t the only car makers feeling the economic slowdown: the same crisis is taking place in China, not great news for related exchange traded funds (ETFs). But the two countries are coming at the problem very differently, and it will be interesting to watch which tactic works better.
A dramatically noticeable slowdown in sales in China have Chinese car executives cutting production, putting off plans to export to the United States and looking to Beijing … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - 3 Stocks With Plenty Of Cash
The stories are all too familiar. General Growth Properties (GGP), the second largest mall operator in America and in business since 1954, has hired bankruptcy counsel as it struggles to refinance $1 billion of debt by the end of the month.
Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN), the San Diego-based biotechnology company, recently announced it would layoff 25% of its workforce in a corporate restructuring with the goal of becoming cash flow positive by the end of 2010.As credit remains in the … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - New Deal Policies Didn't End The Great Depression
Intro: Many people are looking back to the Great Depression and the New Deal for answers to our problems. But while we can learn important lessons from this period, they’re not always the ones taught in school.
The traditional story is that President Franklin D. Roosevelt rescued capitalism by resorting to extensive government intervention; the truth is that Roosevelt changed course from year to year, trying a mix of policies, some good and some bad.
Conclusion: In short, … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Ratio Of VIX To Yield On 3-Month Treasury Bills
I have been mulling over some ideas for new features on the blog (feel free to suggest some possibilities in the comments below) and one of these is a chart of the week that highlights what I think is a particularly salient development from the past week. This week, of course, there are many possibilities to draw upon, given some of the historic market activity. Friday’s Citigroup implied volatility chart is one such example.
This week, however, I would like to highlight the T-Bill … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Two Spending Categories Are Especially Vulnerable
Arguably, one of the closest parallels to recent events is the Great Depression. Given that, I thought it might be interesting to highlight some statistical data from the era (which I got from here).
While most people are aware that the economy went in to a tailspin from 1929 - 1933, with real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) gross national product (GNP) falling by just over a third, they might not be aware of the fact that two sub-components actually fared far worse.
Non-residential … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - All The King's Horses And All The King's Men
Yes, I know, my cynical sense of humor strikes again:
…..but you can’t blame me for being cynical when we have members of Congressional banking committees railing at Paulson and Bernanke over the fact that undercapitalized banks aren’t committing fiscal suicide via lending out the money they received from the TARP program.
I.e. more and more I think that the biggest impedance to resolving the current crisis is that the so called rescuers are not only bloody clueless, but are in … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Depression Is Not An Option, Reflation Is The Only Option
Does anybody really think our culture is going to change overnight because of a little $55 trillion CDS problem? The fact is that very few of us even know what a Credit Default Swap is and even fewer understand that the source of the global financial, business and economic crisis is the CDS.
I warned about this problem more than two years ago. I was reminded of that this week as the world’s three biggest CDS players crashed and burned. Citi (C) (C -60.4%), JPMorgan (JPM) (JPM … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - More Shoes Getting Ready To Drop
Credit conditions continue to tighten and in the real economy boom times are quickly turning to bust. There will be more disappointing events, a veritable shoe store of shoes getting ready to drop. Here’s a list of what may be in store. … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Technical Analysis: Interesting Development In The Dow
I was doing some work with Fibonacci retracements this afternoon and found a particularly interesting confluence I thought I’d share with you. It’s on the Dow Jones (^DJI) and it involves the current low and how it almost mysteriously fits within the current structure.
Dow Jones Weekly Chart:
First, let me start by saying this is not the 'classical’ way to use Fibonacci, but stay with me for a minute.
Constance Brown in her book “Technical Analysis for the Trading … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Stock Options: Here We Go Again
A recent Wall Street Journal article has my knickers in a knot again. The article, “Technology Options Sink”, deals with the fact that many of the stock options issued by technology firms in recent years are now worthless.
Let me jump right to the punchline. Employee stock options are a form of incentive compensation. In today’s environment, management and employees should just be grateful to have a job. The fear of being called into a human resources meeting and then having security … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Housing Market Infects Industrials ETFs
Heavy equipment holders are selling their products at auction for less than expected, and items such as excavators, backhoes, or heavy construction machinery are being sold due to too much idle time.
Sellers said they were lightening their inventories to pull in operating capital; Buyers said they were lured by cheap prices, although several expressed trepidation to spend money on equipment that could remain idle for months, reports Tiffany Hsu for the LA Times.
Bargains are everywhere, … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - GM Paid $73.26 Per Hour For Labor Costs In 2006
Both in the comments on this blog and elsewhere, serious questions have been raised about the $73.26 total labor cost per hour that GM (GM) pays its hourly workers. For example:
1. Felix Salmon at Portfolio.Com writes “You might expect it from right-leaning commentators like Will Wilkinson. You wouldn’t expect it from someone like Mark Perry, who lives in Flint, Michigan. And you certainly wouldn’t expect to see it in the New York Times, from the likes of Andrew Ross Sorkin. But … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Is There A Bubble In US Treasury Bonds?
US T-Bills and T-Notes have exploded in value recently in light of the current economic mess. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has deteriorated significantly over the last year; the Fed has become more leveraged, yet the desire for Treasury securities has not diminished at all. Treasury yields have shown historic decreases.
Is it time to start selling US Treasury Bonds?
Here’s a link to an interesting article on how to short them.
Below is the Rydex “Juno” Fund which is … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - US Consumers Have Benefited From Car Competition
One of the most under-appreciated, unreported and unrecognized facts about the automobile industry is captured in the chart above (click to enlarge), showing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Items from the BLS (data), vs. the CPI for New Cars (data) from 1998-2008 (both set to equal 100 in January of 1998).
Notice that since 1998, consumer prices have increased by 34%, an annual rate of 2.7% for consumer prices on average. However, new car prices have FALLEN by about 4% over … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - Video: The Week Ahead
The stories, data, and stocks that may have the greatest impact during the coming week. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
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