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- Obama's Sector To-Do List May Impact ETFs
President-elect Barack Obama has his work cut out for him as he enters office with the weight of financial trauma, tumbling stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) and a gaping deficit.
No question: there’s a lot to do. But some things are going to take priority over others.
Very few health care analysts expect the new president to act upon health care issues any time soon. The Democrats are expected to abandon the Bush administration’s positions on Medicare and other issues. This could … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - ETFs In 2009: Will They Be Half Empty Or Half Full?
When it comes to the stock market and exchange traded funds (ETFs), is the glass half empty or half full?
Janice Revell for CNN Money asked big money brains for their take on the economy and the stock market for the coming year, and to rate their optimism from 1-10, with 1 being “apocalyptic” and ten as “no worries.” The economists came out empty while the market researchers were optimistic.
Economists such as Jared Bernstein and Mark Zandi for Moody’s were the lower scores at 3, claiming … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Stocks To Look Out For In The Week Ahead
After Friday’s low volume rally, we find ourselves with a rather unclear technical picture. The DIA (DIA) chart gives us a good representation, and demonstrates the decreasing volume on Friday. While a continuation rally seems likely on Monday, the overall picture looks bearish to me. But I am not leaning too far in either direction right now.
In the absence of clear signals, I am working under the assumption that we are in a broad trading range. If we do not break the lows, … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Is Good News On The Horizon For GeoEye?
Now that things have settled down for GeoEye (GEOY) we have one more earnings release to get through before the company can start realizing the full potential of their GeoEye-1 satellite launch.
When GeoEye announces its 3rd quarter 2008 earnings on Tuesday morning, I won’t so much be focused on this earnings announcement, but more so on a status update on GeoEye-1 and when GeoEye expects to begin delivering usable and approved imagery to the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Why Markets Can Still Fall Further
It’s been said that markets do whatever is necessary to hurt the most people.
That is why prices sometimes shoot higher when news flow, investor sentiment and speculative positions are skewed to the negative, and why rampant euphoria is occasionally the set-up for a violent correction.
With that in mind, I still believe the path of least resistance for the equity market over the next month or two is up, in large part because bad news and increasing volatility have so many … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Investing In Nuclear Energy
Don’t look now, but King Coal is suddenly back in the crosshairs.
That’s because-now that Barack Obama has gone from the Senate to the Oval Office-the coal industry has nowhere to hide. In fact, both Obama and Biden proved to be a bit sour on the campaign trail when it comes to the sooty stuff, even though it supplies over 50% of our electricity.
That has given new life to the recently defeated Climate Security Act, which was undoubtedly one of the coal industry’s worst nightmares. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Weekend Market Analysis: Long Term Technical Picture Still Bleak
Tonight I have created some charts of the major indices. Many are in the form of a long term historical perspective. Long term historical charts I like using closing prices (line graph) as opposed to bars or candlesticks.
There are also a few charts of the Ultrashort ETF (FXP) that was specifically requested. I also examine the matching index that the Ultrashort tracks.
This came in over the news wires tonight…
FITCH: REVISING OUTLOOK ON KOREA FROM STABLE TO NEGATIVE- Also … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - The Weekend Commodities Review
The two day post election blues should be a blip on the screen of what should come as my forecast for commodity market strength in coming weeks continues.
Energies
Flattening supplies in crude oil and refinery rates remaining stagnant means the likelihood of a winter time supply shift increases - throw in the OPEC cut and this market sector should reverse when the U.S. dollar retraces in coming weeks. Straight calls and bull put spreads are recommended strategies.
Financials
The … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - 10X Increase In Lowest Tax Rate In Early 1930s
A previous CD post showed the highest marginal income tax rates during the Great Depression, which more than tripled from 25% to 79% between the early 1930s and 1936. The chart above shows the increases in the lowest marginal tax bracket between 1929 and 1940, which for all years applied to taxable income between $0 and $4,000. Starting from .375% in 1929, the lowest rate tripled to 1.125% in 1930, and then increased again by more than 3.5 times to 4% in 1932, for a total increase … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Overview Of Stock Momentum Trading
Before any investor wades into the choppy waters of the markets, it is important that they be armed with strategies and information that will enable them to identify potentially lucrative trading opportunities. One of the most popular investing styles is Momentum Trading.
Momentum trading has existed for as long as markets have openly traded, and has proven to be a very valuable tool for many an investor.
Momentum Trading is an investment style that aligns investors with securities that … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - The Bear's Case For Genentech
Trading at $79.84, shares of Genentech (DNA) now trade more than 11% below Roche’s tender offer of $89.00 a share issued in July. At the time the bid was announced, shares of Genentech rose to $99.00, reflecting the market’s view that Roche would have to come back with a higher bid. Later that day, Genentech rejected the offer stating $89 per share did not reflect the true value of its pipeline.
Let’s take a look at some of the reasons Roche decided to make a bid for Genentech. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Stay Away From The Bulk Shippers…For Now
If you have been an active investor in the markets, chances are you have come across the insane volatility surrounding the bulk shipping companies of the world. As an industrial-minded investor myself, it’s hard to look away when you see a fundamentally strong company 60% off its highs, and offering a 25% dividend yield (or more!). It might come as a bit of a shock when I say: stay away from the bulk shippers!
Expect Third Quarter Earnings to be a Mixed Bag
Most of the (formerly) big … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Google To Shutter Fake Internet Ads Agents In China
Google (GOOG) has intensified its battle against fraud in China’s online advertising market. According to ChinaTechNews, the search engine giant announced at its 2008 winter marketing forum in Beijing that it is getting ready to launch an initiative to shutter all of the unauthorized digital ads agents in China that resell illegally Google’s services. The practice, which continues to grow, involves fake co.’s and their agents who often claim to be able to place ads on Google’s search … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Lessons From The Great Depression And One Of The Biggest Tax Hikes In US History
The chart above shows the highest marginal individual income tax rates from 1925 to 1945, using data from the IRS. The highest income tax rate was increased from 25% in the early 1930s, to 63% in 1932, and then to 79% in 1936. If you want to turn a recession into a depression with perverse fiscal policy, there’s probably no better, more effective way to accomplish that outcome than by more than tripling marginal tax rates from 25% to 79% in the face of an economic slowdown. Talk … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Six Stocks Increase Dividends
I regularly check the wires for companies which are increasing dividends. That way I have another control which would enable me to find promising dividend growers to add to my watchlist for accumulation. This week there were several companies announcing healthy dividend raises to shareholders.
Emerson Electric (EMR),a diversified global technology company, announced that its Board has approved a 10.00% increase in its quarterly dividend from $0.30 to $0.33 per common share effective … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Obama's Sector To-Do List May Impact ETFs
President-elect Barack Obama has his work cut out for him as he enters office with the weight of financial trauma, tumbling stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) and a gaping deficit.
No question: there’s a lot to do. But some things are going to take priority over others.
Very few health care analysts expect the new president to act upon health care issues any time soon. The Democrats are expected to abandon the Bush administration’s positions on Medicare and other issues. This … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - IMF Says Developed Countries Face Worst Contraction Since WWII
Welcome to Wall Street, Barack Obama. His victory signaled a change in US political direction, but the biggest election day rally ever - a surge of 4.1% in the S&P 500 Index on Tuesday - was quickly overshadowed by the grim realities of the worsening economic and earnings picture, resulting on Wednesday and Thursday in the S&P 500’s biggest two-day loss (-10.0%) since 1987.
Mr Obama gave his first press conference as President-elect on Friday afternoon, summarizing a discussion … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Stocks I May Buy In November: UPS, GE, WAG, IGM
When I look out a few years many stocks are still looking like very good value at today’s recession fear induced levels. As I continue to accumulate stocks for my non-registered portfolio during these dreary times, here are the current limit orders that I have placed with my online broker to expire on at the end of November:
United Parcel Service (UPS) at $45.01
General Electric (GE) at $18.00
Walgreen (WAG) at $21.50
IGM Financial (IGM) at $32.00
Reitman’s Canada (RET-A) … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Stock Trading: Inside A Volume Divergence
Much has been made about the recent rally into resistance on lower volume, and the subsequent sharp correction following Tuesday’s election. Let’s step inside this situation for clues on how volume could have helped you anticipate a reversal… or at least suspected that 'things weren’t quite right’ with the recent rally.
Let’s step inside the Dow Jones Index on the 30 min chart:
Price began a large momentum burst on October 28 which was a counter-trend rally that lasted … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Week Ahead In The Forex Markets
This week was a bit more calm than the previous week, which usually bodes better for long term traders. While the EUR/USD only ended with an 11 pip loss, the trading range was larger and created an indecisive doji candle. I’m not sure where this will be going for the next week, but it should be more aparent after the Sunday trading session. Here are the total pip movements for the majors:
Majors
EUR/USD | -11 pips
USD/JPY | -23 pips
GBP/USD | -440 pips
USD/CHF | +210 … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - USA And China, The Two Poles?
So much talk about the severity of this financial crisis and potential duration focuses on US and China. If the near term future of the global economy is tied to these two poles then we are going nowhere fast. Our public officials in India continue to try and paint a rosy picture. I think the following quote sums up my view:
Former (and perhaps future) Treasury Secretary Summers has argued that “You can usually date the end of the crisis to the first moment when a public official … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Will Retailers Take A Page From The Great Depression?
It’s been said that hard times breed creativity. When people have to figure out a way to get by — or else — they somehow manage to come up with solutions to all sorts of problems.
As it happens, one of the innovative methods that some retailers used to stay afloat during the Great Depression was to offer customers — who otherwise had no access to cash or credit — a relatively low-risk (for the vendor, at least) way to shop, known as layaway.
Given the growing number of other … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Week Ahead In U.S. Financial Markets
Financial Markets Summary For The Week of November 10-14 2008
The week ahead in financial markets will see a modest quantity of data that will hit the tapes largely on Thursday and Friday. The major market moving events will be the Friday release of the October advance retail sales data and the Thursday release of the US Trade Balance, Jobless Claims and the US Budget Statement. On Friday in Frankfurt Germany, Fed Chair Bernanke and ECB President Trichet will lead a cast of global central … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Is The Market At A Bottom Or Just A Continuation Pattern?
There has been, and continues to be, considerable speculation regarding whether or not the market is forming an important bottom. It is still possible that bottom formation is taking place, but I am beginning to see evidence that maybe it is a continuation pattern instead. A continuation pattern is a consolidation phase that takes place before the market “continues” in the direction it was headed before the consolidation began. In this case the direction is down.
The S&P 500 rallied over … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Global Stock Markets Show Improving Valuations
A study of the dividend yields and price-earnings multiples of a list of 100 global stock markets makes for interesting reading.
With the sharp decline in stock markets over the past few months, valuation levels have obviously improved markedly. This is illustrated by the fact that 62% of the indices are now trading at PEs of less than 10, compared with a figure of 39% a mere one month ago.
The following graph, courtesy of US Global Investors, illustrates the PE compression that has … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Forex Broker FXCM's Balance Sheet
October 28, 2008 - FXCM Holdings, LLC (http://www.fxcm.com) has released its most recent balance sheet, reporting record levels of operating cash and firm capital. The numbers reflect the group’s financial strength and status as of September 30, 2008. Highlights of the (unaudited) balance sheet include:
Over $172 Million In Operating Cash (excludes client funds)
Over $138 Million In Capital (assets minus liabilities)FXCM comfortably exceeds all regulatory financial requirements and … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - A Quick Note On The US Employment Report
The headlines have covered the big picture. We lost another 240,000 jobs last month, and September’s figure was revised lower by 125,000. These are terrible numbers but not surprising given the sharp fall in economic activity in recent weeks. Plenty of companies have been announcing layoffs (right-sizing), and the management commentary on the conference calls that I’ve heard makes it clear that more cuts are coming.
One of my favorite components of the employment report is the … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - GM And Ford Burning Cash, Seek Emergency Government Loans
America’s two leading auto manufacturers, Ford Motor Co. (F) and General Motors Corp. (GM), reported heavy third-quarter losses Friday and are under a severe liquidity strain. Both are seeking emergency loans from governments in the United States and Europe.
Ford posted a $2.98 billion operating loss for the quarter ended Sept. 30. Revenue fell 22% to $32.1 billion, forcing the Dearborn, Mich.-based automotive icon to burn through $7.7 billion in cash.
The automaker’s cash … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Oil And Gas Stocks Looking To Take Leadership
I think that the charts can make a strong case for Oil and Gas stocks moving back to leadership. The argument can be furthered by seasonal … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Retailer, ETF Optimism Might Not Shrug Off Holiday Blahs
While retailers in general are anticipating flagging sales reports, online shopping is expected to grow, up to a 15% increase from last year, giving relief to certain retail exchange traded funds (ETFs). However, the number of online retailers with such optimistic expectations has fallen this year.
Online retailers are more resilient when it comes to the economy as the recent survey from Shop.org implies. The survey of 60 online retailers was conducted for Shop.org from Oct. 1 through 20. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - India: Update On Real Estate
The BSE Realty Index has lost 83% of it value from the high of Jan 2008 to today. Basically, it is back to the levels of January 2006.
A number of players bought land in 2007…projects intended for these tracts of land will not be profitable…so they are unlikely to be started or finished. Banks that lent for these purchases and for the development of land will suffer rising NPA’s. The collateral, land and or shares of the developer, has eroded in value.
Although there … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Correlation Between The Unemployment Rate And Actions Of The Stock Market
In the last five recessions in the US, the stock market (S&P 500) bottomed months before the worst unemployment reading was released. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать
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