Forex blog: Daily Markets (19 сообщений)

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Time For Yen Bulls To Back Off?
The Japanese Yen has been strengthening against the world’s other currencies for the past few months. For the time being, however, this trend seems to have reversed. The charts below tell the story.

CHF/JPY - Note the recent strong uptrend.

EUR/JPY - Ascending triangle formation in the works.

USD/JPY - Moving averages turning upwards, and price trading above moving averages.

Personally I’ve been in and out of short USD/JPY since 101.30; I just closed my most recent … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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Get Ready For A "Fed Induced" Period Of Inflation!
Well, 2008 has been a period of deflation. The U.S. and global economy has slowed dramatically and thus corporate expansion has come to a halt as consumer spending dried up.

So the Fed didn’t sit idly by. No, they do what they feel they do best which is print money. It’s a great tactic short term to get things going…normally (but usually a bad mistake longer term for the economy).

I say, normally, because when the Fed pumps money into the economy and gives banks access to more money and … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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US Earnings Preview For Dec 29 - Jan 2
The NYSE and the Nasdaq will close at 4 p.m. on both Dec 31 and Jan 2.

Only 3 companies are scheduled to report earnings: Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM), OnStream Media Corporation (ONSM) and Rick’s Cabaret International, Inc. (RICK). All of them will report on Monday, Dec 29.
A sign of the times, 1 brokerage analyst recently cut his fiscal fourth-quarter estimates, and fiscal 2009 earnings estimates, on RICK. The consensus earnings estimate calls for the operator of … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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Searching For Higher Yields In Bond ETFs?
The recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve has had the intended effect in some areas, by setting off a buying spree for investors, sending them in search of bond exchange traded funds (ETFs) with higher yields.

This has been evidenced in heavy buying of exchange traded corporate bond funds, says Tom Petruno for The LA Times. Some have even been venturing into the junk bond sector.

Yields on junk securities remain sky-high, but have pulled back a bit as the bonds’ prices have rallied, … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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U.S. Bonds Overbought & Losing Momentum
U.S. Bonds are enjoying a spectacular bull run as the flight to safety trade dominates investor sentiment. However, technical analysis of the recent weekly chart below indicates that bonds are severely overbought and momentum is waning. This, of course, sets up the potential for a retracement correction.

When markets become irrational, they are either ruled by greed or fear. The current market environment is clearly and rightly dominated by the latter and the overbought condition can … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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Three Month Sector Rotation Insights
Often, the Sector Rotation model can give us insights into a deeper structure of the market, and can highlight possible clues for the pathway ahead. Let’s take a look at the absolute and relative performance of the major AMEX Sectors and see what they might be hinting to us.

AMEX Sector SPDRs performance *Relative* to the S&P 500:

In the first graph, we 'zero-out’ the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and then compare the outperformance or underperformance of the nine major sector ETFs … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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Stocks To Watch Next Week - CIEN, AMZN, TSO
Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com ( click to enlarge )

Tesoro Corp (TSO) - The technical chart looks really positive after the stock crossed the 12 level, but honestly the volume was not good enough to be convincing. The near-term outlook stays cautious till the stock closes conclusively above $12. So far the technical chart is still showing buy signal with stock trading above 50 day moving averages with MACD on top of signal line and K line on top of D line. Short-term … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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The Good And Bad Of Weak Dollar For Consumers, ETFs
Until recently, there was strength in the U.S. Dollar Index and the exchange traded fund (ETF) that goes bullish on the index. But there’s a long-term price structure overlaying the current price movements.

While the dollar enjoyed a bump from 1995 to 2001, the index is actually on a long-term downtrend despite the big move recently, says Corey Rosenbloom for Daily Markets. The price last peaked in 2001, then there was an attempt to swing up again in 2002 and 2006, and now we’re up to … [visit site to read more]

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How To Conduct Due Diligence On A Hedge Fund
In light of the Madoff scandal, I thought that rather than add my own snark I would ask Cox Owen to guest blog on the issue of operational diligence. Cox has worked with and consulted for hedge funds, prime brokers, fund administrators and others for almost eight years in numerous capacities. While in the hedge fund business he has worked as an operations manager, trader, project manager, consultant and more. Cox’s experience of launching his own fund and consulting for other start up … [visit site to read more]

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Many Will Continue To Be Caught Out
Although there are any number of reasons why analysts who weren’t incompetent or unscrupulous did not foresee the kind of economic nightmare that has unfolded over the past eighteen months, one key factor, in my view, was the almost blind acceptance of an arbitrary line in the sand between recent economy history and that of the distant past. … [visit site to read more]

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5 Things To Know About ETFs Vs. Index Funds
There are five key differences between exchange traded funds (ETFs) and index funds that every investor should know in order to make wise decisions.

The differences include how both are traded, priced, what they cost, their functionality and, last but not least, tax efficiency, states G.E. Miller at 20 Something Finance.

Index funds are mutual funds which are purchased from the fund management company. They are not traded on the open market throughout the day and can only be … [visit site to read more]

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What Shape Will The U.S. Recession Take: U, W Or 'Bloody L?'
Right now, the conventional wisdom seems to be that the United States is looking at a “U-shaped” recession and recovery. Output declined gently in the third quarter, is dropping sharply now and will continue dropping sharply in the first and possibly the second quarter of the New Year, finally bottoming out and beginning a slow recovery thereafter.

That’s the natural pattern that most recessions follow. However, this has been a pretty unnatural recession, with a number of highly … [visit site to read more]

Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content.

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Friday's Market Recap: Mastercard Reports Overall Decline In Consumer Holiday Spending
Markets reopened Friday with low volume that continued till close as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) was up to 8,515 points, after gaining over 47 points. The Nasdaq (^IXIC) added a little over 5 points and closed at 1,530 points. While the S&P 500 (^GSPC) added almost 5 points and closed with 872, it seems that investor shrug off negative retail data this holiday season. Markets overseas were mixed with Japan’s Nikkei (^N225) up 1.63% and Britain’s FTSE 100 (^FTSE) … [visit site to read more]

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Terra Industries Enters Distribution Agreement For Clean Diesel Product
Terra Industries: Manufacturers of Urea Ammonium Nitrate, Anhydrous Ammonia and Ammonium Nitrate: News Release.

The press release linked above announces a distribution agreement between Terra Industries (TRA) and Brenntag North America for the exclusive distribution rights of Terra Industries’ Diesel Emission Fluid (DEF). First, a little background on the use of DEF.

On January 1, 2010, EPA mandates that new on and off road Diesel powered vehicles will be required to comply with a … [visit site to read more]

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Video: The Week Ahead
The stories, data, and stocks that may have the greatest impact during the next trading week. … [visit site to read more]

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Two Takes On Airlines For Next Year Ahead Of New ETF Launch
Remember the uproar over the airline baggage fees a few months ago? Apparently, we’re living with it just fine and the forthcoming airline exchange traded fund (ETF) probably won’t be affected by it after all. In fact, the outlook for airlines is on the rosy side, according to two analysts.

The uproar when the changes were announced was deafening. And even the concerns over people bringing inappropriate items as carry-ons hasn’t been much of a problem. Instead, people are adjusting. Of … [visit site to read more]

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Retailers Have A Not-So-Merry Christmas
It seems Santa had few gifts for retailers this holiday season, as December sales plummeted 4%, excluding automobiles and gasoline. Relative to last year’s gain of 2.4%, the sales drop-off is worse than industry experts had called for. Analysts believed rampant promotions and price cuts would cushion sales, and forecast anywhere from a 1% drop to a 2.2% gain. Many retailers had hoped that the end-of-the-year holiday shopping, spurred by discounts, would give them the boost needed to … [visit site to read more]

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Video: Oil Prices Rise On Light Trading
Crude prices managed to post a gain this past trading session as a weaker dollar and light trading volume led the way for front month crude to jump more than $2 a barrel this session. … [visit site to read more]

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Video: Ford's 2010 Fusion Hybrid Looks To Revolutionize Driving
Ford has offiialy unvailed its long awaited 2010 Fusion Hybid vehicle which not only looks to give Ford an edge on the green car market, but looks to change the way people drive altogether. … [visit site to read more]

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