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- Quit Listening To Fickle Rating Services
Rule # 1 Never Listen to Analysts…
Rule #2 Never listen to the Ratings Services.Back when I was young and dumb, I used to take stock analysts at face value, thinking they knew what was up.
Then later on, once I started to know what I was doing, I realized that these guys were basically paid to have “biases” from their firms. I also realized that they were routinely “late to the ball game” when it came to upgrades and downgrades on stocks.
In fact, I’ve seen guys that, to make a … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. 
Переслать - US Housing Market: The Shill Owns Up
Everywhere you look nowadays, there are plenty of “experts”: 1) claiming they “predicted” the current crisis; 2) making forecasts about what will happen next; and, 3) offering “solutions” they say can help return things to “normal.”
No doubt some individuals can genuinely take credit for having anticipated the kind of unraveling I’ve been warning about since I first wrote “The Coming Disaster in the Derivatives Market” in November 2005. They and others may also have some … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Santa's Rally Still Intact: Stocks Continue Moving Higher
Ole Cris Cringle continues to bring investors a stock market rally heading into the Holiday week.
Friday’s action was tempered by options expiry, volume soared above its 50dma a sign of volume being a story of options and not buying. Regardless, stocks were sold after reaching their highs by mid-morning and finished just off the lows of the day. The action is not terribly good but the majority of indexes were able to hold off negative territory. Aided by a decline in Chevron … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Cartoon Of The Day: Madoff
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Stocks To Watch Next Week - RIMM, CNC, TSO, HUN
Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com ( click to enlarge )
Research In Motion (RIMM) broke the downtrend line on strong volume and could eventually rally up to test the November highs. However there is a strong resistance to break before move to $50 zone, the 50- day moving average at $45,85. Technical indicators remain slightly bullish as MACD momentum drifts higher near recent highs in positive territory, MACD histograms drift higher the 0 level and RSI moves up. Let’s keep an eye … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Citigroup Stock In A Tough Position
Citigroup (C) is in a tough position. It’s teetering on support of 7.00. Currently closed at 7.02; If it can’t break above the trendline overhead, then next stop is 5.92. Failure there could take it quickly to 3.76 and eventually a re-test of the lows. I’m expecting C to break lower as all indicators point down.
Citigroup reports on January 22 at 8:30am prior to market open. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - 5 Reasons Why Today Is Not Great Depression II
From Fidelity (11/25/2008), see chart above (click to enlarge) of the 5 reasons; here’s the summary:
The challenges faced today by the global economy and financial system are staggering. For the United States, all economic indicators point to an economic downturn that will at least rival any in the post-war period. However, all historical analogies are imperfect. The world changes too much over periods of decades, particularly economies powered by constantly changing technologies, to … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Healthcare Sector: Opportunities And Weaknesses
The healthcare sector is not homogeneous and includes many different industries ranging from managed care organizations, healthcare facilities providers, medical device manufacturers through to biotech and traditional pharmaceutical companies. Investors in heathcare therefore should remain mindful of the different drivers and appropriate metrics associated with the various sub-sectors.
That said, and recent market volatility aside, long-term growth of the healthcare sector overall … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - On Retailers, Madoff Scandal, US Dollar
The usual round of various news stories and other tidbits from around the web that I think you may find interesting:
As Christmas approach many retailers are planning major sales with discounts that are deeper than those offered during Black Friday, which pretty much sums up how dismal this particular shopping season has been for retailers. I suspect the sales will show mixed results due to many consumers being either finished with their shopping for their year, and other consumers … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - US Congress Gives Itself A Pay Raise
What great timing Congress has.
Taxpayers are already on the hook for the $700 billion bailout, another $17.4 billion for the automakers, and millions more. So what’s another $2.5 million in Congressional pay raises? Yep, even though we’re buried in debt. Even though millions of Americans have lost their jobs, their homes, their livelihood, Congress voted to give itself a raise.
Each will receive a $4,700 pay raise, which increases salaries to $174,000, as the deficit is on … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - $17.4 Billion Auto Industry Rescue Plan: Delaying The Inevitable
Friday’s big news is a new plan unveiled by the White House to pump roughly $17.4 billion into Chrysler and GM (GM) in order to save them from slipping into Bankruptcy:
From WSJ:
The White House announced a $17.4 billion rescue package for the troubled Detroit auto makers that allows them to avoid bankruptcy and leaves many of the big decisions for the incoming Obama administration.Speaking from the White House, President George W. Bush said the administration decided against … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Carnival Expects Rougher Waters
As a single economic entity, Carnival Corporation (CCL) & Carnival, Plc (CUK) is the largest cruise operator in the world. Carnival’s cruise ships offer various itineraries to passengers worldwide under leading cruise brands.
We maintain our Hold rating for Carnival Corporation following the release of Q4 financial results. Given our expectation for continuing margin pressures and potential demand weakness, we do not feel that material price appreciation is warranted at this … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: The Week Ahead
The stories, data, and stocks that may have the greatest impact during the coming trading week. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - 11 Banks Downgraded: Who Are They, And What ETFs Are They In?
Eleven U.S. and European banks that can count themselves as top holdings in some exchange traded funds (ETFs) found themselves downgraded by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services on Friday morning.
S&P bases the downgrade on pressures facing the large financial institutions in the future, because of increasing risk and a worsening global recession, reports Kerry E. Grace for the Wall Street Journal. They note that government intervention in order to bring stability to the sector … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Like Detroit, Washington Has Lost Its Way
Congress has been suitably tough in its advice to Detroit, calling for “a complete restructuring” of our failing auto makers. But how about restructuring Washington? Like Detroit, Washington has lost its way. Congress should take its own advice and retool Washington. Here’s how:
1. Cut “legacy obligations.” Congress lectures Detroit about a one-time loan of $15 billion, yet year after year Congress hands $10 billion to corporate farmers. And that’s only one of hundreds of … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - US Stock Market: Ascending Triangle Coming To Apex
There is a clear ascending triangle consolidation pattern developing on the major US Equity Indexes, and it appears we are reaching the Apex, or break-out point sooner rather than later. Let’s take a look at the S&P 500 Index (^GSPC) and see this development.
S&P 500 60min Chart:
The S&P 500 is showing significant resistance about the 920 level which has been confirmed three times, and is showing resilient support via the rising trendline from November 24th to … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Ford's State-Of-The-Art Factory In Brazil: A Model For The Big 3's Survival. But The UAW Hates It.
DETROIT NEWS–This state-of-the-art manufacturing complex in northeastern Brazilian is one of the most advanced automobile plants in the world. It is more automated than many of Ford’s (F) U.S. factories, and leaner and more flexible than any other Ford facility. It can produce five different vehicle platforms at the same time and on the same line.
At Camaçari, more than two dozen suppliers operate right inside the Ford complex, in many cases producing components alongside Ford’s … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Federal Commitments Total $5 Trillion
There is a rising tide of negativity about “bailout nation.” Public opinion has been in opposition each step of the way, most recently on the auto bridge loan, announced today and analyzed by us here.
The problem in the media characterizations is that everything is described as a “bailout” since that is the story that plays. There is also special emphasis on what the taxpayer will get in return, judged on the basis of investment potential.
Get serious! The government is not a … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Silver To Continue To Outperform Other Assets In 2009
Gold fell on Thursday on a bounce in the dollar and renewed weakness in the oil and commodity markets. While gold has clearly decoupled from oil and commodities in recent weeks, due to its safe haven currency credentials, oil and the commodities can still effect gold’s performance in the short term. As can weakness in stock markets. Gold trading on the COMEX in the US opening hours has been increasingly correlated with stock markets in recent weeks and months . This correlation with stock … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - White House Approves $13.4 Billion In Loans For GM And Chrysler
General Motors Corp. (GM) and Chrysler LLC will receive $13.4 billion in loans from the federal government as part of an emergency measure to keep the companies operating at least until the spring.
“These are not ordinary circumstances, in the midst of a financial crisis and a recession allowing the U.S. auto industry to collapse is not a responsible action,” said President Bush, who made the final decision to move ahead with the bailout after Senate Republicans last week balked at … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - An Apt Reflection Of An Era
Throughout history, it has not been unusual to see major frauds come to light after bubbles have burst.
While the going is good, cheap money, accommodating counterparties, and the general rise in asset prices help to keep all sorts of shaky ships afloat. Later, when circumstances turn sour, the miscreants’ luck runs out and things start falling apart.
To Paul Krugman, though, the recent discovery of one of the biggest scams of all time has more significance than its tabloid … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Forex Trading: USD/CHF Not Able To Break Above 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Level
The USD/CHF was not able to break through the 38.2% retracement level at the 1.1131 level today. The high for the day came in at 1.1127. Asd a result, the pair has moved lower as the weekend approaches.
For the week, the USD/CHF moved down almost from the start. The high for the week occurred in the 1st hour of trading at the 1.1768 level. The low for the week was reached on Thursday at the 1.0410 level. The 1358 range for the week unofficially was the largest move since … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Friday's Market Recap: Stocks End Mixed On Automaker Bailout
Markets retreated from their early morning highs to mixed territory. The Dow Jones (^DJI) closed down -25.88, or -0.30%, to end the day at 8,579.11. The Nadsaq (^IXIC) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) managed to finish slightly in positive territory by 0.29% and 0.77%, to close at 887.88 and 1,564.32 respectively. That markets made their early gains on word of $17.4B automotive industry bailout. General Motors (GM) seems to be the company that is going to benefit the most from the … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Lessons Learned: A Paper Trade Of E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures
I’m making this post as a “diary” of a “paper trade” that I made this morning on the E-mini S&P 500 Index futures (SDS). Hopefully, I can learn from it - as can others. I evaluated the market after yesterday’s close and determined that my expectation was for it to rise for “a bit” and then drop and retest the bottom of the triangle formation that it’s in. I was hoping to play the changes with the SDS (see chart).
Prior to the market opening, the futures had rallied and … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Letter To The Future Car Czar
Today (Friday), President Bush approved an emergency bailout of the U.S. auto industry Friday, offering $17.4 billion in rescue loans in exchange for tough concessions from the deeply troubled carmakers and their workers. The government will have the option of becoming a stockholder in the companies, in effect partially nationalizing the industry.
If the carmakers fail to prove viability by March 31, 2009, they will be required to repay the loans, which they would find all but … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - First Half Of TARP Funds Used Up
The Treasury Secretary stated today (Friday) that as a result of the decision to provide $17.4 billion to General Motors Corporation (GM) and Chrysler LLC, the Treasury has effectively allocated the first $350 billion from the TARP funds.
It is not very clear whether the current administration will ask Congress to release the remaining half of the TARP funds. While Secretary Paulson stated that he will discuss that process with the congressional leadership and the President-elect’s … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - US Mortgage Rates Sink To 37-Year Low
According to Freddie Mac (FRE), the average 30-year fixed-mortgage interest rate, for the week ending Dec-18, is officially 5.19%. The rate is down from last week’s average of 5.47% and has not been lower since Freddie started the Primary Mortgage Market Survey in 1971. Last year at this time, the 30-year fixed-rate averaged 6.14%.
Many experts are predicting the 30-year fixed-rate will fall below 5%. The Fed’s move on Dec. 16 to slash its target interest rate to a range of zero to … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Forex Trading: EUR/USD Moves Up As Retracement Level Not Threatened
The EUR/USD has moved higher off the lows as the pair was not able to threaten the 38.2% retracement level of the recent move higher at the 1.3806 level (see chart above). The range for the day has been yet another large top to bottom range. The high today was 1.4309, while the low came in at 1.3824. The 485 pip range is the 3rd day in a row with a range greater than 450 pips. This is extraordinary volatility and reflective of the end of year illiquidity that is gripping the … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Panasonic Offers $9 Billion For Controlling Stake In Sanyo
Panasonic Corp. (PC) said today (Friday) that it will spend up to $9 billion to acquire majority stake in rival Sanyo Electric Co. Ltd. (SANYY.PK).
The merger would create Japan’s second-largest electronics manufacturer behind Hitatchi Ltd. (HIT), as Panasonic is the world’s No. 1 plasma TV maker and Sanyo is one of the world’s largest rechargeable battery makers, Reuters reported.
Should the deal clear regulators, Panasonic said one of its intentions is restructuring both … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - S&P 500 Index: Elliott Wave Count From 2000-2003
Stuart, a reader, asked me an excellent question that I wanted to share with you all which raises some interesting questions we may need to discuss. he noted that the proposed Elliott Wave count in 2002 was very similar to the current structure, and noted that the bottom - using Elliott Wave - could not have been predicted. Let’s take a look at what he means and then try to determine if we can apply this lesson to today’s Elliott Wave count (and add an additional viewpoint to the … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - 5 Lessons For Emerging Market ETF Investors
The emerging markets exchange traded funds (ETFs) are described as excellent diversification tools, with the potential for risk and volatility, as they should be used with caution.
That’s been especially true this year, as emerging markets have been among the hardest-hit of the global markets. Unfortunately, volatility is often an afterthought in the good times, says Elizabeth Ody for Kiplinger. Recent months illustrate that even though potential for growth is there in these countries, … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Indian Stock Market: Rising On…Hmmm…Just Rising
Are investors in India back to de-coupling as a theory? Certainly the continued rally in our markets suggests something…what could it be?
Earnings visibility? NOT
Earnings Growth? NOT
Economic Growth? NOT; see the following articles:Need of economy booster package in FY’10, too - Montek
More uncertainty; if the administration knew the extent of stimulus required why not move forward with it?
Next year to be more challenging - RBI
RBI Governor Duvvuri Subbarao said … [visit site to read more]Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - CompUcredit Settles With FDIC For $114 Million
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation [FDIC] announced Friday (Dec. 19) a settlement with CompuCredit Corporation (CCRT), Atlanta, Georgia, a company that provides credit and related financial services and products to the underserved consumer credit market.
CompuCredit was charged with deceptive marketing of subprime credit cards with three FDIC-supervised banks in violation of the Federal Trade Commission Act [FTC Act]. Two of the banks previously settled with the FDIC.
From … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Hurdles Facing Infrastructure ETFs
Infrastructure exchange traded funds (ETFs) may gain some momentum as America prepares to create more jobs in infrastructure projects in an attempt to mitigate the economic recession and rising unemployment. But are the priorities in the right place?
America’s mayors and state governors are preparing their respective yuletide wish lists of up to $73 billion and $136 billion in public projects, according to Economist.
Some see that through diversity the approach to public works has … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - 10 Reasons Why You're Better Off With ETFs
In a year full of unpleasant surprises, heavy losses and wounded portfolios, the scandal surrounding Bernard Madoff has taken the cake. What’s more, he’s not only managed to make all the other events on Wall Street look good this year, but he’s also bolstered the case for exchange traded funds (ETFs).
Brett Arends for The Wall Street Journal reports on why the case for mutual funds (and we think even more so, ETFs) just got stronger. All 10 points are very relevant for investors who … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - OPEC, Madoff And The Big Three
You may have heard about financier Bernard Madoff and his house of cards that just came tumbling down. In addition to being the most brazen and costly Ponzi pyramid schemes in recent memory, Madoff also showed us how far unadulterated trust can be taken.
The Madoff scandal unfolding also brings to mind other houses-of-cards in the investing world.
For one, how about the price of oil and how many alternative fuels depend on costly crude?
German renewable energy industry leaders met … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Energy Shortages In The Baltic Sea Region
For this first Global Blackout issue, we’re going to look at a part of the world that doesn’t get much attention: the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. I traveled to the area in 2006 to meet local business leaders, government representatives, and to gage just what opportunities could come from a free and prosperous Baltic Sea region.
Formerly part of the Soviet Union, these three states have had their own periods of prominence throughout history-Lithuania was actually … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: Front Month Oil Prices Expire Below $34
With today being the expiration date for January crude contracts, demand concerns continued to weigh in on the markets as oil settled below $34 a barrel to close out the contract as well as week. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: India's Inflation Rate Drops Sharply
With lower commodity costs, India’s once high inflation rate has recently plunged. This being much to the delight of companies and consumers who have seen their budgets shrink due to the high cost of fuel. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: Stocks In For A Volatile Session
Stock markets lose ground amid a tug of war between the auto and financial sector. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: Nikkei & Hang Seng Drop On Commodity Price Bust
Both the Nikkei & Hang Seng markets closed out the final day of the trading session on the downside as lower commodity prices led the way for a slump in commodity-related stocks. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: The Euro Rally Ends On Profit Taking
The euro’s recent rally has caused investors to cash in on their gains which has in turned led to the euro posting drastic losses against both the dollar and yen this session. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: Expect Volatility
With quadruple witching on hand expect the markets to be volatile especially at the end of the day. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Video: Research In Motion Does Its Research: Posts 3Q Gain
BlackBerry brand manufacturer Research In Motion announced that its 3Q profits rose due mostly in part to increased sales of its newly released smartphone models. … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - VIX Drops Below 42; VIX Calls In Play
The range-bound action in equities over the last few weeks has brought us something we have not seen since October 3rd: a VIX below 42.
With the VIX futures for January and February still trading in the 47-48 range, the consensus opinion is that a 42 is not sustainable. In fact, supporting that opinion is the flurry of activity in the January 70 and 75 calls in the past few minutes, as speculators (and perhaps hedgers) jump at the pre-Christmas sale prices on VIX options.
The graphic … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать - Forex Trading: USD/JPY Waffling Around The 100 Hour Moving Average
The USD/JPY has waffling around the 100 hour movinng average taking some of the steam out of the currency pair. The pair is trying to find its way today as the weekend approaches. On the upside, the pair needs to get above the closing level of 89.42. A move above would target 90.02 - the high from yesterday. From there the market may look to stair step to higher … [visit site to read more]
Article Published On DailyMarkets.com - visit Daily Markets - Financial News & Opinions for more great content. Переслать
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