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EUR/USD Grows after 3 Days of Decline and Bad Macroeconomic Reports from U.S.
EUR/USD rose today for the first time in the last four days. All three important macroeconomic reports that were released today in the United States showed that the world’s biggest economy is still quite far from leaving the global financial crisis behind. EUR/USD is trading near 1.2606 now.

ADP employment report for February showed a decrease by 679k jobs in that month, following 522k drop in January. The forecast was at 630k.

ISM services index declined slightly from 42.9% to 41.6% in February — still a bit above the average estimate of 41%.

Crude oil inventories fell in U.S. again last week — this time by 0.7 million barrels, but nevertheless they are still above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.
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EUR/USD Fell on Growing U.S. Income and Spending
EUR/USD fell yesterday after the reports on the growing personal income and spending showed that the U.S. consumers may help the country’s economy to recover faster from the crisis. The declining construction spending failed to move the dollar down against the euro yesterday. The currency pair ended its trading at 1.2560 after opening at 1.2618.

Personal income rose by 0.4% in January after contracting by 0.2% in December; the median forecast for its change was at -0.2%. Personal spending rose by 0.6% in January after falling by 1% in December; it was expected to grow by 0.4%.

Construction spending fell by 3.3% in January compared to the December’s level, following 1.4% drop a month before and 1.5% decline forecast.

ISM manufacturing index report showed that PMI rose from 35.6% to 35.8% in February, while the market participants expected a small decline to 34%.
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Forex Technical Analysis for 03/01—03/05 Week

EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: buy.
EUR/JPY trend: buy.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair	3rd Sup	2nd Sup	1st Sup	Pivot	1st Res	2nd Res	3rd Res
EUR/USD	1.2129	1.2366	1.2517	1.2754	1.2905	1.3142	1.3293
GBP/USD	1.3508	1.3808	1.4059	1.4359	1.4610	1.4910	1.5161
USD/JPY	88.02	90.38	93.98	96.34	99.94	102.30	105.90
EUR/JPY	112.75	115.90	119.76	122.91	126.77	129.92	133.78

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair	2nd Sup	1st Sup	Pivot	1st Res	2nd Res
EUR/USD	1.2345	1.2474	1.2733	1.2862	1.3121
GBP/USD	1.3808	1.4059	1.4359	1.4610	1.4910
USD/JPY	90.38	93.98	96.34	99.94	102.30
EUR/JPY	115.90	119.76	122.91	126.77	129.92

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair	4th Sup	3rd Sup	2nd Sup	1st Sup	1st Res	2nd Res	3rd Res	4th Res
EUR/USD	1.2455	1.2561	1.2597	1.2632	1.2704	1.2739	1.2775	1.2881
GBP/USD	1.4007	1.4158	1.4209	1.4259	1.4361	1.4411	1.4462	1.4613
USD/JPY	94.29	95.93	96.48	97.02	98.12	98.66	99.21	100.85
EUR/JPY	119.75	121.68	122.32	122.97	124.25	124.90	125.54	127.47

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs	EUR/USD	GBP/USD	USD/JPY	EUR/JPY
100.0%	1.2991	1.4659	98.71	126.07
61.8%	1.2843	1.4449	96.43	123.39
50.0%	1.2797	1.4384	95.73	122.57
38.2%	1.2751	1.4318	95.03	121.74
23.6%	1.2695	1.4238	94.16	120.71
0.0%	1.2603	1.4108	92.75	119.06

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Forex Technical Analysis for 02/23—02/27 Week

EUR/USD trend: hold.
GBP/USD trend: hold.
USD/JPY trend: hold.
EUR/JPY trend: hold.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair	3rd Sup	2nd Sup	1st Sup	Pivot	1st Res	2nd Res	3rd Res
EUR/USD	1.2233	1.2374	1.2600	1.2741	1.2967	1.3108	1.3334
GBP/USD	1.3795	1.3943	1.4187	1.4335	1.4579	1.4727	1.4971
USD/JPY	88.64	90.02	91.68	93.06	94.72	96.10	97.76
EUR/JPY	112.09	113.86	116.78	118.55	121.47	123.24	126.16

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair	2nd Sup	1st Sup	Pivot	1st Res	2nd Res
EUR/USD	1.2395	1.2642	1.2762	1.3009	1.3129
GBP/USD	1.3943	1.4187	1.4335	1.4579	1.4727
USD/JPY	90.02	91.68	93.06	94.72	96.10
EUR/JPY	113.86	116.78	118.55	121.47	123.24

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair	4th Sup	3rd Sup	2nd Sup	1st Sup	1st Res	2nd Res	3rd Res	4th Res
EUR/USD	1.2623	1.2724	1.2758	1.2791	1.2859	1.2892	1.2926	1.3027
GBP/USD	1.4214	1.4322	1.4358	1.4394	1.4466	1.4502	1.4538	1.4646
USD/JPY	91.66	92.49	92.77	93.05	93.61	93.89	94.17	95.00
EUR/JPY	117.12	118.41	118.84	119.27	120.13	120.56	120.99	122.28

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair	EUR/USD	GBP/USD	USD/JPY	EUR/JPY
Resistance	1.3038	1.4653	93.89	122.36
Support	1.2671	1.4261	90.85	117.67

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs	EUR/USD	GBP/USD	USD/JPY	EUR/JPY
100.0%	1.2883	1.4484	94.45	120.32
61.8%	1.2743	1.4334	93.29	118.53
50.0%	1.2700	1.4288	92.93	117.98
38.2%	1.2656	1.4242	92.57	117.42
23.6%	1.2603	1.4185	92.13	116.74
0.0%	1.2516	1.4092	91.41	115.63