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- Forex Technical Analysis for 01/19—01/23 Week
EUR/USD trend: hold.
GBP/USD trend: hold.
USD/JPY trend: sell.
EUR/JPY trend: sell.
Floor Pivot Points Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res EUR/USD 1.2605 1.2815 1.3041 1.3251 1.3477 1.3687 1.3913 GBP/USD 1.3786 1.4128 1.4430 1.4772 1.5074 1.5416 1.5718 USD/JPY 86.74 87.60 89.16 90.02 91.58 92.44 94.00 EUR/JPY 112.31 114.27 117.31 119.27 122.31 124.27 127.31 Woodie’s Pivot Points Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res EUR/USD 1.2819 1.3048 1.3255 1.3484 1.3691 GBP/USD 1.4128 1.4430 1.4772 1.5074 1.5416 USD/JPY 87.60 89.16 90.02 91.58 92.44 EUR/JPY 114.27 117.31 119.27 122.31 124.27 Camarilla Pivot Points Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res EUR/USD 1.3026 1.3146 1.3186 1.3226 1.3306 1.3346 1.3386 1.3506 GBP/USD 1.4378 1.4555 1.4614 1.4673 1.4791 1.4850 1.4909 1.5086 USD/JPY 89.38 90.04 90.27 90.49 90.93 91.15 91.38 92.04 EUR/JPY 117.60 118.98 119.43 119.89 120.81 121.27 121.73 123.10
Posted on Forex blog.Fibonacci Retracement Levels Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY 100.0% 1.3462 1.5114 90.89 121.23 61.8% 1.3295 1.4868 89.97 119.32 50.0% 1.3244 1.4792 89.68 118.73 38.2% 1.3193 1.4716 89.39 118.14 23.6% 1.3129 1.4622 89.04 117.41 0.0% 1.3026 1.4470 88.47 116.23
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Переслать - EUR/USD Up on Negative CPI, Industrial Production Drop
EUR/USD rose from its monthly low today — for the first time this week — after the U.S. reports on CPI and industrial production failed to meet the traders’ extremely pessimistic expectations. The better outcome for the U.S. economy means a better outcome for the global economy, which is good for such currencies as the euro. EUR/USD is currently trading near 1.3281.
CPI (seasonally adjusted) decreased by 0.7% in December after losing 1.7% a month earlier. The market analysts expected that the consumer prices will fall by 1% that month.
Industrial production continued to fall in U.S. last month — it lost 2% after falling by 1.3% in November — that’s far worse than the forecasts’ 0.8% decline. Capacity utilization dropped from 75.2% to 73.6%, while a drop to just 74.7% was expected for December.
Posted on Forex blog.
Try easy Forex experience with Easy-Forex.Переслать - EUR/USD Down Despite ECB Decision and U.S. Jobless Report
EUR/USD traded near its open price for the first half of the day today but after the ECB decision to cut the rate by only 50 basis points — from 2.5% to 2% and saying that it’s not going to go lower during the next meeting, the euro gained momentum and rose a little. Nevertheless after several fundamental reports went out in U.S. EUR/USD went down significantly and is now trading near 1.3088.
PPI fell by 1.9% (the same as the analysts expected) in December after losing 2.2% in November.
Initial jobless claims were at 524k last week — up from 470k a week before and greater than 501k expected by the market analysts.
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index went up from -25.76 to -22.2 in January, while it was expected to remain almost unchanged at -25.
Philadelphia Fed Index rose from -36.1 to -24.3 in January. The average forecast for this index was at -35 for this month.
Posted on Forex blog.
Try easy Forex experience with Easy-Forex.Переслать - EUR/USD Little Lower after High Intraday Volatility
The plethora of the macroeconomic statistics that was out in the U.S. today moved EUR/USD up and down with a great strength during the Forex trading session. Eventually, despite the bad reading in almost all reports, the dollar took the upper hand and is now leading in its rivalry against the euro. EUR/USD is currently trading near 1.3173.
Import prices fell by 4.2% in December, following 7% decline in November. Export prices fell by 2.3% last December and by 3.4% a month earlier.
Retail sales in the United States were down by 2.7% in December, following 2.1% drop in November (revised down from 1.8% decline). That result is much worse than the forecast drop of 1.8%.
Business inventories were down by 0.7% in November after 0.6% drop in October and worse than the expected decline by 0.5%.
Crude oil inventories increased by 1.2 million barrels during the last week and now are above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.
Posted on Forex blog.
Try easy Forex experience with Easy-Forex.Переслать - EUR/USD Falls for 3rd Day After Budget and Trade Deficit Reports
EUR/USD continued to fall for the third daily trading session today. It reached the lowest level since December 11 after reports on both budget deficit and trade balance deficit were released in U.S. today. Now EUR/USD is trading at 1.3194.
Trade balance deficit decreased from $56.7 billion (revised up from $57.2 billion) to only $40.4 billion in November — much faster than the analysts expected (the average forecast was at about $51 billion deficit). The main reason for such a strong narrowing is in the significant decline in oil prices that month.
Treasury budget deficit was reported at $83.6 billion for the month of December — that’s better the November’s $164.4 billion reading but significantly worse than December 2007 surplus of $48.3 billion. Economic strategists expected a surplus of about $33 billion from this report.
Posted on Forex blog.
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