Forex Blog (2 сообщения)

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• Forecast for 2009 — Currencies, Oil, Interest Rates
  

  My last forecast (for the year 2008) missed the real world market action significantly. The financial crisis made a lot of the forecasts made by the analysts and traders useless but, nevertheless, I still wish to offer my vision for the next year. This is just my opinion and it shouldn’t be taken as a serious forecast or some guide for trading.

  EUR/USD will go down in 2009 and will probably reach 1.2000-1.2400 and then jump up to about 1.3000.
  GBP/USD will head down; probably, to a parity.
  USD/JPY will be very volatile, falling down to about 80.00 and rising up to about 100.00.
  EUR/JPY will be even more volatile ending up the year 2009 not far from 130.00.

  Oil. My last forecast on this important commodity missed its real trading range by the tens of dollars. In 2009 the oil will most probably remain below $75/barrel and will probably reach its bottom near $30.

  Interest rates will remain quite low in 2009 but, starting from the middle of the year, the central banks will begin to increase them gradually:
  Fed’s one will be near 1% by the end of 2009.
  ECB — close to 2%.
  Bank of England — ~1%.
  Bank of Japan — ~0.5%.

  Posted on Forex blog.
  Trade with a leading Forex service provider — trade with Ava FX.
  

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• Forex Technical Analysis for 01/05—01/09 Week
  

  EUR/USD trend: sell.
  GBP/USD trend: sell.
  USD/JPY trend: hold.
  EUR/JPY trend: hold.
  

  Floor Pivot Points
  Pair	3rd Sup	2nd Sup	1st Sup	Pivot	1st Res	2nd Res	3rd Res
  EUR/USD	1.3218	1.3534	1.3729	1.4045	1.4240	1.4556	1.4751
  GBP/USD	1.3929	1.4142	1.4345	1.4558	1.4761	1.4974	1.5177
  USD/JPY	87.62	88.69	90.25	91.32	92.88	93.95	95.51
  EUR/JPY	121.28	123.33	125.57	127.62	129.86	131.91	134.15

  Woodie’s Pivot Points
  Pair	2nd Sup	1st Sup	Pivot	1st Res	2nd Res
  EUR/USD	1.3504	1.3668	1.4015	1.4179	1.4526
  GBP/USD	1.4142	1.4345	1.4558	1.4761	1.4974
  USD/JPY	88.69	90.25	91.32	92.88	93.95
  EUR/JPY	123.33	125.57	127.62	129.86	131.91

  Camarilla Pivot Points
  Pair	4th Sup	3rd Sup	2nd Sup	1st Sup	1st Res	2nd Res	3rd Res	4th Res
  EUR/USD	1.3642	1.3782	1.3829	1.3876	1.3970	1.4017	1.4064	1.4204
  GBP/USD	1.4320	1.4435	1.4473	1.4511	1.4587	1.4625	1.4663	1.4778
  USD/JPY	90.35	91.08	91.32	91.56	92.04	92.28	92.52	93.25
  EUR/JPY	125.45	126.63	127.02	127.42	128.20	128.60	128.99	130.17

  Fibonacci Retracement Levels
  Pairs	EUR/USD	GBP/USD	USD/JPY	EUR/JPY
  100.0%	1.4362	1.4770	92.40	129.67
  61.8%	1.4167	1.4611	91.40	128.03
  50.0%	1.4107	1.4562	91.09	127.53
  38.2%	1.4046	1.4513	90.77	127.02
  23.6%	1.3972	1.4452	90.39	126.39
  0.0%	1.3851	1.4354	89.77	125.38

  Posted on Forex blog.
  Trade with a leading Forex service provider — trade with Ava FX.
  

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