Friday, October 17, 2008

Forex Blog (2 сообщения)

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  • EUR/USD Slightly Down after a Series of U.S. Macroeconomic Releases

    EUR/USD went down slightly today after several important macroeconomic reports were released in the United States. With the indicator values being more negative for the dollar, the decline of the EUR/USD currency pair was more probably caused by the growth of the risk-aversion among the Forex traders.

    Consumer price index remained unchanged in September after declining by 0.1% in August. It was expected to grow by 0.1% last month.

    Initial jobless claims were at 461k last week — down from 477k a week before and below the expected 470k, which suggests that the employment market is slowly recovering from the crisis.

    Net foreign purchases of the long-term securities were at $14 billion in August up from the extremely low $8.6 billion value reported for July. But they are still significantly below the average monthly level.

    U.S. industrial production got a massive hit from the hurricanes and the crisis and dropped by 2.8% in September after losing 1% in August. The average forecast for September’s value was -0.8%. Capacity utilization also declined significantly in September — from 78.7% to 76.4%; analytics expected a decline only to 77.9%.

    Philadelphia Fed index post an outstanding decline from 3.8 in September to -37.5 in October. This decline surpassed the pessimistic forecasts of a drop to -9.8.

    Posted on Forex blog.
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  • Forex Technical Analysis for 10/13—10/17 Week

    EUR/USD trend: sell.
    GBP/USD trend: sell.
    USD/JPY trend: sell.
    EUR/JPY trend: sell.

    Floor Pivot Points
    Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
    EUR/USD 1.2655 1.2957 1.3182 1.3484 1.3709 1.4011 1.4236
    GBP/USD 1.5749 1.6268 1.6658 1.7177 1.7567 1.8086 1.8476
    USD/JPY 90.09 94.00 97.33 101.24 104.57 108.48 111.81
    EUR/JPY 118.73 125.48 130.23 136.98 141.73 148.48 153.23

    Woodie’s Pivot Points
    Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
    EUR/USD 1.2938 1.3145 1.3465 1.3672 1.3992
    GBP/USD 1.6268 1.6658 1.7177 1.7567 1.8086
    USD/JPY 94.00 97.33 101.24 104.57 108.48
    EUR/JPY 125.48 130.23 136.98 141.73 148.48

    Camarilla Pivot Points
    Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
    EUR/USD 1.3118 1.3263 1.3311 1.3360 1.3456 1.3505 1.3553 1.3698
    GBP/USD 1.6549 1.6799 1.6882 1.6966 1.7132 1.7216 1.7299 1.7549
    USD/JPY 96.68 98.67 99.33 100.00 101.32 101.99 102.65 104.64
    EUR/JPY 128.65 131.81 132.86 133.92 136.02 137.08 138.13 141.30

    Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
    Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
    Resistance 1.3597 1.7372 102.91 139.36
    Support 1.3070 1.6463 95.67 127.86

    Fibonacci Retracement Levels
    Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
    100.0% 1.3785 1.7695 105.15 143.74
    61.8% 1.3584 1.7348 102.38 139.35
    50.0% 1.3522 1.7241 101.53 137.99
    38.2% 1.3459 1.7133 100.68 136.63
    23.6% 1.3382 1.7001 99.62 134.95
    0.0% 1.3258 1.6786 97.91 132.24
    Posted on Forex blog.
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