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- Charts - A Look At The Major US Indices
Tuesday's selling was strong. The gains from the Fannie and Freddie bailout rally Monday have all been erased. The first three charts are the major indices. Then two requested charts will follow.
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Переслать - Is An ETF Better When Mixed With A Mutual Fund?
Exchange traded funds (ETFs) are popular investment tools, no doubt, and now some of their newest fans seem to be one of their biggest rivals - mutual funds.
More and more mutual funds are beginning to invest in ETFs, which track market benchmarks and trade through out the day on exchanges like a single stock, says Allison Bisbey Colter for The Wall Street Journal.
Since … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - D-Day For Lehman: A Running Diary
Macro Man is going to try something new today, an occasional running diary of his thoughts, fears , joys, and frustrations on what looks set to be a momentous day. It might prove useful ex post in helping him to evaluate how he deals with noisy days.
8:58 am: The LHC has been turned on, and we’re all still here. Lehman’s (LEH) trading over 10 in … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Berkshire To Stop Insuring Bank Deposits Above FDIC Limit
The CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, Billionaire Warren Buffett, according to WSJ - has told one of its subsidiaries - Kansas Bankers Surety Co., to stop offering "bank deposit guaranty bonds".
KBS has used the bank deposit guaranty bonds as a tool to attract wealthy customers and help the bank increase and hold large deposits. For many years this program, designed as a … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Lehman Brothers Traveling On The Road To Oblivion?
Today is a momentous day for geeks around the world, from professional particle physicists to science amateurs like Macro Man. Yes, today is the day that the Large Hadron Collider in Switzerland is turned on, and with it mankind will attempt to replicate the conditions that existed at the time of the Big Bang.
Protons will be sent at virtually the speed of light to collide in mega-energy explosions. And with it, physicists hope to find all matter of esoterica: Higgs bosons, the so-called … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Daily Forex Trading Commentary: Traders Reduce Odds Of Fed Lifting Rates Before End 2008
EURO
The euro appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar Tuesday as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.4225 level and was supported around the $1.4045 level. The common currency reached its lowest level since 9 October 2007 before moving higher. The U.S. dollar is lower … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - The Basics Of Investing In Options
If options scare you, or you’re one of those investors that won’t give it a shot, let me preface this by saying options aren’t as difficult as you may think.
Let’s go over the basics of investing in options…
An option is a contract that gives an investor the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a stock at a specific price on or before a specific date, or expiration date.
Just like stocks, investors can buy and sell options, including call options and put … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Solar ETFs Drop Sharply After Reports Of Panel Glut
Solar stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) plummeted after oil prices fell lower and investors worried about an oversupply of solar panels.
One analyst at Lehman says the sell-off could be because of a misinterpretation of statements made by a solar executive, reports Dirk Lammers for the Associated Press.
Oil fell to $103.26 today - its lowest point since April 1.
In a note to clients, … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Stock Market Summary: More Government Bailouts?
The word of the day today was "Lehman". If you mentioned Lehman (LEH) on the floor of the NYSE, people would stop and listen. This morning there were indications that the Korea Development Bank had ended their talks with Lehman. First of all, who the heck is this Korea Development Bank? Well, that is an issue for another post.
But, with the rumor that talks had broken off, the shares of Lehman were sent into a tailspin, as fears mounted that Lehman might implode. The … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Stock Market Bearish But Oversold
Looking at my weekend post, I was premature in predicting a commodity bounce, but on target with respect to action in equities. Last Thursday’s distribution day was a major sell signal for the primary indexes. Tuesday’s high volume selloff confirmed the market’s bearish orientation after the brief strength on Friday and Monday. I commented last week that the top was in for financials, and the cracks really started to show today, with big reversals across the board, and a huge drop for … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Time To Scrutinize Excesses Of Home Ownership
Americans may disagree about nearly everything, but few contest the idea that owning your home is a good thing. Paeans to homeownership are a commonplace for American politicians, and, since the 1930s, public … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Gafisa SA Is A Strong Latin Play
We are keeping our Buy recommendation on Gafisa S.A. (GFA). The second quarter 2008 results were positive.
The short-term outlook remains promising as the company's sales are strong and the emergence of a domestic mortgage market continues to support the Brazilian construction sector. The recent joint venture with Tenda will enhance the company's presence in the low-income segment. We believe the tighter monetary policy in Brazil is just a temporary problem, mainly now … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Wells Fargo Surpassed Citigroup In Market Cap
The Wells Fargo (WFC) surpassed Citigroup (C) in market Cap and became the third U.S. bank more valuable. The stock closed the day at $31.17 which gave it a market capitalisation of around 103.14 billion of dollars. Citigroup closed at 18.88 which give it a market capitalization of just 102.81 billion dollars. This institution remains, however, as the largest bank by assets. According to Bloomberg, two years ago, Citigroup had a market capitalisation of … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities And Inflation Expectations
First there was the inflation scare, then there was the deflation scare, and now it seems any network or blog can find enough economists to support either scenario as a grave concern for the economy.
In times of confusion, I like to take my cues from the markets. This time around I am talking about the future inflation rate expectations that can be derived from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, more commonly known as TIPS. Using the CPI as an inflationary benchmark, … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Is The End Game Near For Lehman?
As painful as it is to see Macro Man’s friends at Lehman (LEH) in personal financial distress, it’s hard to escape the conclusion that the endgame is near. A record-volume slide into single digits and a current price that’s 50% lower than Monday’s opening suggests that checkmate is very, very near.
By all accounts, Lehman is considering releasing Q3 earnings after Tuesday’s close to stop the speculation; the danger, of course, is that the release merely confirms the … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Financial ETFs Wait On Fannie And Freddie To Get Well Soon
The recent bailout of mortgage powerhouses Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have many exchange traded fund (ETF) investors wondering if this could be the recovery the financial sector needed.
Although last week the financial sector was one of the ETF market leaders, betting on a bull market in the sector is premature, reports Michael Kahn for Barrons.
Even if the financial bottom has … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Charlie Maxwell's Oil Call: $300 In 2015
Charlie Maxwell, the energy analysts who's been calling out values in oil and gas companies for decades, recently issued his long range oil price and supply/demand forecast. It calls for a range-bound oil price of $75 - $115 for a couple of years or so followed by new high prices in 2011 - 2012, $200 oil in 2013 and $300 in 2015. His fundamental model is very close the the analysis of … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - An Insider's Take On Investing In Renewable Fuels
We’ve been talking about cellulosic ethanol as a way of investing in renewable fuels for over a year now.
By now, anyone who follows the ethanol industry even semi-closely knows that cellulosic ethanol is the future of renewable transportation fuels.
But for all the talk and ballyhoo, a commercial plant has yet to be opened here in the U.S., though there are at least two under construction. Many claim to be the first, but here’s what I found.
The first was announced in … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Charting First State Bancorp (FSNM)
The way I analyze a particular trade is to analyze the index, industry, and the particular stock at the same time to look for any divergences. It can be called a top-down approach, but Iook at all three at the same time.
First State Bancorp (FSNM) is listed on the NASDAQ, and the index has entirely broken down. As I mentioned in my newsletters, volume has gotten weaker and weaker for the past 4 weeks … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Tuesday's Stock Charting: Breakouts And Breakdowns
There aren't any notable breakouts on volume greater than 500K today. You can't expect too many of these on a -280 point day.
Lehman Brothers (LEH) was the star of today's financial media. I won't comment on rumors since there are conflicting reports from numerous sources. To add fuel to the fire, S&P stated that they may cut LEH's "A" long-term credit rating. … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Dow Surrenders All Of Monday's 274 Point Rally On Tuesday
It has been whole two days since Freddie (FRE) and Fannie (FNM) basically slipped beneath the waves.
And forty-eight hours later, the markets have only shrugged. All of Monday’s 274 point rally on the Dow has now been surrendered back to the bears.
At the close, the Dow (^DJI) was off 278 today. Bear Stearns Part Two this was not.
In fact, by comparison Bear Stearns was nothing more than a blip. Shareholders in the … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Conflict And Politics In Russia Threatens ETF
Russia's conflict with Georgia could wind up putting the expansion of both the country and its exchange traded fund (ETF) on hold.
The Russian stock market already took a dive to a two-year low as foreign investors left in numbers. And the fact that Russian oligarchs are affiliated with President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin is adding risk to doing business with them in the minds of some, visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Tuesday's Market Recap: Lehman Drags Stocks And Dollar Down
Stocks took a huge plunge today because of stability concerns at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEH). Lehman Brothers declined 44.95% in intraday trading due to investors' fears that the company is having trouble discovering new sources of capital, and the potential investment from Korea's Development Bank appeared to be falling through. The news pushed down Wall Street and even pushed the Dollar down against the Yen and against the Euro early in the … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - ETNs That Pay Out Dividends Do Exist
Believe it or not, there are exchange traded notes (ETNs) that yield high dividends. Most don't pay them at all, and if they do, they might be small.
However, there are a few that yield a little more.
There are four to choose from, and they are known by few investors and advisors:
- Claymore CEF Index Linked Goldman Sachs Connect ETN (GCE), down 17.9% year-to-date
- BearLinx Alerian MLP Select Index ETN (BSR), down 11.3% … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Sentiment Is Starting To Turn Against Those Who Are Supposed To Sort Things Out
At the outset of the current crisis, most of the financial community believed that it would only be a matter of time before the Federal Reserve, Congress and the Bush administration figured out a way to fix the mess and allow the secular bull to reassert itself.
In contrast, those of us who had done the research and understood the true extent of the imbalances and excesses that had built up over the past several decades had a different view. We believed that once the unraveling began, … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Foreign Currencies Plunge As US Dollar Rises
If you've focused entirely on the US Dollar Index, you may have missed the fact that - in general - for the Dollar Index to rise, foreign currencies must fall - and in some cases, that fall has been dramatic. Let's look at a few currency indexes (FOREX) to see the flip side of a strong US Dollar. All charts are weekly charts.
First, the Euro Index:
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Переслать - Lehman's Shares Get Smashed And Fall 44%
Lehman's (LEH) shares were just smashed to pieces today. They closed at $7.91, down over 44%. No confidence in LEH, at all! Goldman Sachs says they are still trading with Lehman (as of this writing).
The rest of the market was trounced, as well, erasing the entire “Fannie/Freddie” pop yesterday. Oil prices went briefly below $100, but is trading around $102 now. Gold bounced around, but still ended down over $20, and the USD is zig-zagging in the $79-$80 range. … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Record Budget Deficit In 2008? Not Even Close
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - KDB Ends Talks With Lehman Over Stake
The Financial Services Commission [FSC], South Korean government's top financial regulator said Tuesday, according to Dow Jones Newswire, that talks between Korea Development Bank [KDB] and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEH) have ended.
The FSC Chairman Mr. Jun Kwang-woo, who overseas KDB's operations and who has been in favor of KDB pursuing an expansion strategy, seems to have turned more cautious in his business considerations for the 158-year-old NY based … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Stronger Dollar Trounces Gold, Silver, Platinum ETFs
The rising value of the U.S. dollar is making precious metal exchange traded funds (ETFs) look a little less appealing.
Gold has now slumped to its lowest price in more than a year, following the government's takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reports Feiwen Rong for Bloomberg.
The dollar index, meanwhile, rose to a one-year high, boosting the PowerShares DB … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Following A Genius
Some advisers, commentators and talking heads seem to have the touch, and some don’t. No one is correct all the time, nor is anyone always wrong.
Individuals on occasion have a special talent for imagining possibilities for the future that others overlook. However, that doesn’t mean they can predict the future reliably or in any profitable detail.
Even the best speculator will be wrong a good part of the time. For this reason, however great the talent may be, the speculator will not … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Post-Olympic History Could Be On the Side of China And ETFs
Yes, the China focused exchange traded funds (ETFs) are way down year-to-date, but some caution to not consider them out.
So far, China's Shanghai Composite Index has fallen 57% this year, compared to the S&P 500, which is down 15%, and the FTSE 100, down 19%. Although the Chinese markets will recover eventually, the downward movement may not quite be over, visit site to read more]
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Переслать - ETFs Tumble After Pending Home Sales Fall, Lehman Questioned
Wall Street and exchange traded funds (ETFs) took a step back early this morning after a few worrying developments.
The stability of Lehman Brothers (LEH) came into question, sending their shares as much as 40% lower. Concerns arose over whether the fourth-largest investment bank on Wall Street would be able to raise capital, report Richard Leong and Jonathan Stempel for Reuters. Some of the decline came from reports that Lehman's talks with state-owned Korea Development … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Tuesday Market Summary: Still In A Bear Market Despite Rally Cries
A sucker's rally seems the conclusion thus far. Conditions are changing faster than Jim Cramer can "clarify" his "the bottom's in" calls. It's only Tuesday and I think this will be a long and stressful week for bulls and bears.
From our view, we're still in a bear market despite all the rally cries and government work.
Tuesday reality set in as Lehman (LEH) (Lemon?) can't find a buyer even on EBAY. Frankly, I don't understand the rumored … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Market's Euphoria Only Lasted A While: Stocks Down And Lehman Shares Plummet
Did the euphoria last only 24 hours? Investors’ sentiment has reversed again on Wall Street. Just on Monday, US stock indices, plus stocks around the world, rose on news of the government’s bailout of crooked mortgage giants Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE), but today, the atmosphere has changed dramatically - visit site to read more]
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Переслать - 3 Investing Tips For Volatile Markets
For the past 10 months or more, most business news reports will tell you that the global stock markets are down again. However, although the media tend to play this up, it is in fact nothing unusual. Generally, though past performance is no guarantee of future returns, markets have a few good years, followed by a less-than-stellar year or two. For example, in the current market cycle, there were four or five good years, and now the markets have dropped. That's precisely … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - Weakness In Technology Sector: Google, Dell And XLK Index Fall
What we may have missed recently is the weakness in technology related companies over the last week which was particularly punishing for most tech companies that started roughly at the same time DELL (DELL) missed earnings and gapped lower. Let's look at the XLK Technology SPDR (XLK) and Google (GOOG) for some insights.
XLK Technology Sector SPDR Daily:
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Переслать - Fannie/Freddie Takeover & Bailout: Will It Help?
Is it going to help solve our housing crisis? Some analysts think that Fan (FNM) & Fred’s (FRE) borrowing costs will not drop, much of which will be passed on to new mortgage borrowers. Let’s see if that looks like it will solve the housing problem:
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Переслать - Lehman Short-Sellers Rejoice
Those who had been shorting Lehman Brothers (LEH) for what must have seemed an uncomfortably long period in some cases saw their ship come in this morning. On rumors that talks about getting a major capital infusion from the Korean Development Bank (KDB) had stalled, LEH shares fell to a new multi-year low of $8 per share, until bouncing back somewhat.
Lehman shares seem to have found a range of trading by mid-day, down $5 per share — a whopping 35%. But with the … [visit site to read more]
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Переслать - US Stock Market Update: Lehman And Capital One
Lehman (LEH) share price is taking a big hit on the news that the Korean Development Bank is not talking to them anymore about taking a stake in the company.
Auto loans are weakening for Capital One Financial (COF) and I can't believe how much GSE exposure they have:
Capital One Financial (COF) CEO: SEEING CONTINUED WEAKNESS IN AUTO LOANS IN NEAR FUTURE - SUMMARY OF CONF PRESENTATION
- Notes that the credit card business is … [visit site to read more]Article Published On GraceCheng.com - visit Grace Cheng Financial News & Opinions for more great content.
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