Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Forex Blog (4 сообщения)

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  • Euro Rises Against Dollar on Housing Decline in U.S.

    Dollar dropped its position against the euro today after the yesterday’s interest rate decision failed to support the U.S. currency for more than several hours. Poor housing reports showed another (unnecessary) sign of the ongoing recession in the United States. At this level interest rate don’t play the role they usually do. Traders try to look at the countries’ financial system and sell the money of the worst. EUR/USD is currently trading near 1.4180 level.

    Housing starts in U.S. were reported at 895k annual rate in August, following 954k rate in July, — significantly below the 950k forecast. Building permits also dropped at a very large scale — from 937k to 854k; they were expected to go down only to 925k.

    Crude oil inventories decreased by 6.3 million barrels last week after declining by 5.9 million barrels a week earlier. They are still in the lower half of the average range for this time of year.

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  • Dollar Stands Firmly After Record Low TIC Inflow

    EUR/USD declined today during the whole trading session as the stock markets were also falling globally. Now  U. S. indexes remain in the neutral zone, but the dollar still stands well against the euro, even after some really bad statistics from U.S. A rapid downfall of EUR/USD followed the Fed’s interest rate decision today and the currency pair now trades near 1.4119.

    CPI at a seasonally adjusted rate dropped by 0.1% in August after 0.8% growth in July and zero change forecast for August. Declining prices is one of the worst enemies of the dollar since they allow Federal Reserve to perform interest rate cuts without worrying about the inflation growth.

    Net foreign purchases of the long-term U.S. securities were extremely low in July — only $6.1 billion, after $53.4 billion total in June. That was an unexpected result as the average forecast for the capital inflow was at $55 billion.

    Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep the federal funds rate at 2.00% today. That decision was expected by the market participants, although, some analysts believed that the rate would be cut today. Despite the consumer inflation declining recently and an extremely troublesome situation with the financial markets, FOMC showed no sign that the rates may raised soon.

    Posted on Forex blog.
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  • Forex Technical Analysis for 09/15—09/19 Week

    EUR/USD trend: sell.
    GBP/USD trend: sell.
    USD/JPY trend: sell.
    EUR/JPY trend: sell.

    Floor Pivot Points
    Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
    EUR/USD 1.3380 1.3630 1.3927 1.4177 1.4474 1.4724 1.5021
    GBP/USD 1.7072 1.7259 1.7600 1.7787 1.8128 1.8315 1.8656
    USD/JPY 103.29 104.68 106.30 107.69 109.31 110.70 112.32
    EUR/JPY 138.84 143.19 148.30 152.65 157.76 162.11 167.22

    Woodie’s Pivot Points
    Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
    EUR/USD 1.3642 1.3950 1.4189 1.4497 1.4736
    GBP/USD 1.7259 1.7600 1.7787 1.8128 1.8315
    USD/JPY 104.68 106.30 107.69 109.31 110.70
    EUR/JPY 143.19 148.30 152.65 157.76 162.11

    Camarilla Pivot Points
    Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
    EUR/USD 1.3922 1.4073 1.4123 1.4173 1.4273 1.4323 1.4373 1.4524
    GBP/USD 1.7651 1.7796 1.7844 1.7893 1.7989 1.8038 1.8086 1.8231
    USD/JPY 106.27 107.10 107.38 107.65 108.21 108.48 108.76 109.59
    EUR/JPY 148.22 150.82 151.69 152.55 154.29 155.15 156.02 158.62

    Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
    Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
    Resistance 1.4326 1.7958 110.01 159.94
    Support 1.3779 1.7430 107.00 150.48

    Fibonacci Retracement Levels
    Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
    100.0% 1.4428 1.7974 109.07 156.99
    61.8% 1.4219 1.7772 107.92 153.38
    50.0% 1.4155 1.7710 107.57 152.26
    38.2% 1.4090 1.7648 107.21 151.14
    23.6% 1.4010 1.7571 106.77 149.76
    0.0% 1.3881 1.7446 106.06 147.53
    Posted on Forex blog.
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  • Forex Technical Analysis for 09/08—09/12 Week

    EUR/USD trend: sell.
    GBP/USD trend: sell.
    USD/JPY trend: hold.
    EUR/JPY trend: hold.

    Floor Pivot Points
    Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
    EUR/USD 1.3541 1.3868 1.4068 1.4395 1.4595 1.4922 1.5122
    GBP/USD 1.6854 1.7196 1.7430 1.7772 1.8006 1.8348 1.8582
    USD/JPY 102.12 103.82 105.78 107.48 109.44 111.14 113.10
    EUR/JPY 140.62 145.60 149.64 154.62 158.66 163.64 167.68

    Woodie’s Pivot Points
    Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
    EUR/USD 1.3836 1.4004 1.4363 1.4531 1.4890
    GBP/USD 1.7196 1.7430 1.7772 1.8006 1.8348
    USD/JPY 103.82 105.78 107.48 109.44 111.14
    EUR/JPY 145.60 149.64 154.62 158.66 163.64

    Camarilla Pivot Points
    Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
    EUR/USD 1.3977 1.4122 1.4170 1.4219 1.4315 1.4364 1.4412 1.4557
    GBP/USD 1.7348 1.7507 1.7559 1.7612 1.7718 1.7771 1.7823 1.7982
    USD/JPY 105.73 106.73 107.07 107.40 108.08 108.41 108.75 109.75
    EUR/JPY 148.71 151.19 152.02 152.84 154.50 155.32 156.15 158.63

    Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
    Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
    Resistance 1.4495 1.7889 108.46 156.64
    Support 1.3968 1.7313 104.80 147.62

    Fibonacci Retracement Levels
    Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
    100.0% 1.4723 1.8113 109.18 159.61
    61.8% 1.4522 1.7893 107.78 156.16
    50.0% 1.4460 1.7825 107.35 155.10
    38.2% 1.4397 1.7757 106.92 154.04
    23.6% 1.4320 1.7673 106.38 152.72
    0.0% 1.4196 1.7537 105.52 150.59
    Posted on Forex blog.
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