Forex blog: Grace Cheng (9 сообщений)

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Grace Cheng
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More Constructive On Crude Oil
In retrospect it was easy to call the top in oil. When cartoons like this appeared it was clear that high oil prices had penetrated the public consciousness – a contrarian sell signal.

Now that the oil price has descended about $30 from its peak and other commodities have also been hammered, it's time to become more constructive on crude. While downside risks remain (e.g. cyclical US slowdown affecting commodity … [visit site to read more]

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US Stock Market Summary
I like to think that Rebel Traders tunes out the noise, and stays focused on the bigger picture. A lot of the daily posts I make are geared toward letting you know about the instant news that may be affecting market movement. But, every evening we try to give you a broader view of the market.

There is a lot of daily noise and instant “long term” analysis for “short term” moves. For instance, it's said that oil prices are moving higher due to demand (mostly from China). But, when … [visit site to read more]

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Stock Picks And Trade Ideas For The Week Ahead - RMBS, TRN, COMS, JPM, FNM

Chart courtesy of stockcharts ( click to enlarge )

(FNM) sure took a hit in July and managed to find support around 10-14 with upside volume starting to pick up. The stock broke down its support on Friday on increased volume and selling pressure making this stock … [visit site to read more]

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Aircastle Ltd Remains On Course
Aircastle Ltd (AYR) came out with 2nd quarter earnings pretty much as expected. This is actually very positive after the turmoil around the stock back in June. At that time the stock was hit by the double whammy of worries about financial companies and record oil prices put anything related to airlines into a tailspin. Since Aircastle leases commercial aircraft the market pushed the stock down to as low as $7.79. Neither of these worries have had any actual effect on the … [visit site to read more]

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Week Ahead In US Financial Markets (August 11-August 15)
The publication of the advance retail sales report for the month of July on Wednesday and the consumer price index for the same month the following day should be the primary market moving macro events of the week. Outside of the US macro data, corporate earnings reports on Thursday for Wal-Mart, Nordstrom’s and Berkshire-Hathaway all will be closely observed by the market. For the week earnings at Flour on Monday, Indy-Mac on Tuesday and Macy’s on Wednesday will also impact the week in … [visit site to read more]

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Premature Celebration: The Market And The Fed
The enthusiastic response of the market to the moderation in the price of imported oil and the Fed monetary statement is a bit overdone. It is based on the hope that inflation will moderate rather than a hard-nosed look at the pricing environment. Our Senior Economic advisor Bill Poole, who knows more than a bit about crafting a coherent Fed statement, reminded the market recently that since August 2006 the FOMC in one way or another has been signaling that they anticipate inflation will … [visit site to read more]

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Index Investing: Refusing To Believe In Magic
…building a portfolio around index funds isn't really settling for average. It's just refusing to believe in magic.
~Fortune, 1999

A number of smart people are involved in running hedge funds. But to a great extent their efforts are self-neutralizing, and their IQ will not overcome the costs they impose on investors. Investors, on average and over time, will do better with a low-cost index fund…
~Warren Buffett

No matter where … [visit site to read more]

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Why Every Investor Should Have A China Investment Strategy
[The First of Two Parts]

By William Patalon III

As we’ve said time and again here at Money Morning, every investor has to have a China investment strategy.

And with the opening ceremonies for the 2008 Beijing Summer Olympic Games taking place today (Friday), this is probably as good a time as any to review the long-term case for a China investment strategy, and to look at the key factors investors should keep in mind as they … [visit site to read more]

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When It Comes To ETFs, Women Are Doing It For Themselves
When Bev Sutton and her husband were splitting up in the mid-1970s, she did something that some might see as a little unconventional.

"I said, 'I'll take the stock if you want to keep the house.' That was fine with him, and that's what I did."

If you tend to think most women just don't get involved with investing, you'd best think again. As a female investor who has been doing it on her own for several decades, Sutton is quick to point out: "Not everyone fits the … [visit site to read more]

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